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Beyond temperature scaling: Obtaining well-calibrated multi-class probabilities with Dirichlet calibration

NeurIPS 2019 · Label-efficient and robust learning › Recognition and long-tail · approach: Confidence calibration objectives

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use Dirichlet calibration instead of temperature scalingDeep neural network classifiers · CIFAR-10cw-ECE: 0.0444 to 0.0292Helped
Use Dirichlet calibration instead of temperature scalingDeep neural network classifiers · CIFAR-100cw-ECE: 0.2271 to 0.2403; 0.1864 to 0.1802Mixed
Use Dirichlet calibration instead of temperature scalingDeep neural network classifiers · SVHNcw-ECE: 0.0384 to 0.0262; 0.0181 to 0.0203Mixed
Apply Dirichlet calibration with ODIR rather than temperature scalingDeep neural network classifiers · CIFAR-10log-loss: 0.1951 to 0.1822Helped
Use matrix scaling with ODIR rather than Dirichlet calibrationDeep neural network classifiers · Deep neural network experimentslog-loss: MS-ODIR outperforms Dir-ODIR in 11 out of 14 casesMixed
Remove off-diagonal coefficients from MS-ODIR (ablation)MS-ODIR · Deep neural network experimentslog-loss: Almost identical in 6 out of 14 cases; significantly worse in the remaining 8 out of 14Mixed
Use ODIR rather than L2 regularisation (ablation)Dirichlet calibration · CIFAR-100cw-ECE: 0.4025 to 0.2403Helped

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