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Adapting Neural Networks for the Estimation of Treatment Effects

NeurIPS 2019 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Treatment effects · approach: Benchmarking treatment effect models · 52 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Add a propensity-score head to the TARNET-style model (ablation)TARNET · ACIC 2018MAE: 1.45 -> 0.55Helped
Add targeted regularization (ablation)Dragonnet · ACIC 2018MAE: 0.55 -> 0.35Helped
Add targeted regularization (ablation)TARNET · ACIC 2018MAE: 1.45 -> 1.40Helped
Use an end-to-end treatment-and-outcome representation rather than staged treatment training with a frozen representationDragonnet versus NEDnet · ACIC 2018MAE: 1.49 -> 0.55Helped
Use targeted regularization rather than the unregularized model (ablation)TARNET · IHDP Δ_in and Δ_allMAE: 0.16 -> 0.15; 0.13 -> 0.12Mixed
Use targeted regularization rather than the unregularized model (ablation)TARNET · IHDP Δ_outMAE: 0.21 -> 0.20Helped
Use targeted regularization rather than the unregularized model (ablation)Dragonnet · IHDP Δ_outMAE: 0.21 -> 0.20Helped
Use targeted regularization rather than the unregularized model (ablation)Dragonnet · IHDP Δ_in and Δ_allMAE: 0.14 -> 0.14; 0.12 -> 0.11No clear effect
Use TMLE instead of the Q-only estimatorDragonnet · ACIC 2018MAE: 0.55 -> 1.97Hurt
Add targeted regularization (ablation)Dragonnet · ACIC 2018, baseline error Δ_ATE >1MAE: 10.64 -> 6.50Helped
Use TMLE instead of the Q-only estimatorTARNET · ACIC 2018, baseline error Δ_ATE >1MAE: 28.52 -> 176.14Hurt
Tighten propensity-score truncation from [0.01, 0.99] to [0.1, 0.9] (ablation)TARNET with Q estimator · ACIC 2018MAE: 1.45 -> 0.44Helped

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