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Efficient and Flexible Inference for Stochastic Systems

NeurIPS 2017 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Dynamical systems · approach: State-space inference for stochastic systems · 3 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
estimate states and parameters jointly with gradient matching instead of VGPA smoothing in an inner loopOur approach · Lorenz63 D=3runtime: 31s -> 2.4sHelped
same, on 40-dimensional Lorenz96Our approach · Lorenz96 D=40runtime: 6503s -> 14sHelped
same, on 1000-dimensional Lorenz96Our approach · Lorenz96 D=1000runtime: 17345s -> 383sHelped
increase diffusion variance by factor of 30 (ablation)Our approach · Lorenz attractor parameter estimatesparameter accuracy: 1 -> 30Mixed
lengthen observed time interval from 10 to 60 secs (ablation)Our approach · Lorenz attractorparameter estimation accuracy: 10 -> 60Helped
lengthen observed time interval (ablation)Our approach · Lorenz attractor, sigma parameterestimation accuracyNo clear effect
compare with Archambeau et al. 2008 variational approachOur approach · Lorenz96 D=40, true forcing 8parameter estimate accuracyHelped
reduce observed variables to 1/3 (ablation)Our approach · Lorenz96 D=40parameter estimate accuracyHurt
leave the y dimension unobserved (ablation)Our approach · Lorenz attractortrajectory recoveryNo clear effect

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