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When to Trust the Cheap Check: Weak and Strong Verification for Reasoning
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Formalizes weak (cheap proxy) vs strong (costly user) verification as accept/reject/defer policies, shows a two-threshold optimal structure under calibration, and gives an online distribution-free algorithm (SSV) that controls type-I/II errors while reducing strong-verification calls.
Problem
Reasoning systems rely on cheap weak verifiers (self-consistency, proxy rewards) that are noisy, while strong verification (human or domain execution) is costly; there is no principled way to decide when to trust the weak check and when to defer to strong verification while controlling incorrect acc
Approach
Weak-strong verification policies map weak scores to accept, reject, or query-strong actions; population analysis gives a two-threshold optimal policy governed by calibration and sharpness, and an online importance-weighted threshold-tracking algorithm (SSV) with exploration queries in decisive regions yields finite-sample, distribution-free type-I/II error control.
Key results
- On Sudoku, SSV at alpha=beta=0.01 reaches 43.1% accuracy with 2.87 strong calls per puzzle versus 44.2% and 5.32 calls for the strong-only oracle (about 46% fewer strong calls).
- Running-average type-I and type-II errors stabilize near the nominal target alpha=beta=0.15 on MATH and Sudoku.
- On MATH level 5, SSV reaches 60% accuracy with 2 strong calls per problem versus the oracle's 63.5% with 2.8 calls.
Limitations
- Guarantees are marginal over rounds; the strong-verification decision depends only on the weak score, not on the prompt-response context.
- Exploration probabilities add strong-verification cost and must be tuned.
- Population analysis assumes calibration of the weak verifier, which SSV does not rely on.
Experimental setup
Datasets: MATH Sudoku puzzles
Benchmarks: MATH Sudoku
Metrics: type-I error type-II error strong verification frequency accuracy
Baselines: Strong-Only (Oracle) Weak-Only (Greedy) best-of-n
Builds on: online conformal prediction learning to defer outcome reward modeling process reward modeling
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- Measuring Weak-to-Strong Legibility of Reasoning Models (NeurIPS 2026 · similarity 0.88)
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- V1: Unifying Generation and Self-Verification for Parallel Reasoners (ICML 2026 · similarity 0.85)
- APOLLO: Automated LLM and Lean Collaboration for Advanced Formal Reasoning (NeurIPS 2025 · similarity 0.85)
- THE PATH OF LEAST RESISTANCE: GUIDING LLM REASONING TRAJECTORIES WITH PREFIX CONSENSUS (ICLR 2026 · similarity 0.85)
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