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Learning Safe Strategies for Value Maximizing Buyers in Uniform Price Auctions

ICML 2025 · Bandits and online learning › Online convex optimization and games · approach: Learning for pricing and auctions · 1 citations (OpenAlex)

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Studies learning to bid for value-maximizing RoI-constrained buyers in repeated uniform price auctions, characterizing finite safe undominated m-uniform strategies and learning them via a DAG-based Hedge/EXP3 implementation with richness-ratio guarantees.

Problem

Bidding in repeated uniform price multi-unit auctions by a value-maximizing buyer subject to per-round return-on-investment constraints, against strategic or adversarial competing bids, with m-uniform bidding (m bid-quantity pairs).

Approach

Defines safe strategies that satisfy RoI for any competing bids; shows they reduce to a finite class where bids equal average valuations w_{Q_j}, so the offline optimum is a max-weight path in a poly-size DAG; runs a weight-pushing Hedge (full info) or EXP3-like (bandit) update over edges to get poly(m,M) time learning, and introduces a richness ratio to compare against richer benchmark classes.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use the DAG-based learning algorithm to learn safe strategies with at most m bid-quantity pairsValue-maximizing buyers in repeated uniform price auctions · Full-information feedbackregret: O(M\sqrt{m T\log M})Helped
Use edge-weight estimators with the DAG-based learnerValue-maximizing buyers in repeated uniform price auctions · Bandit feedbackregret: O(M^2\sqrt{m^3 T\log M})Helped
Use the structured DAG-based bandit learner instead of a naive EXP3 implementation over pathsSafe bidding strategies with at most m bid-quantity pairs · Bandit feedbackregret bound: T^{2/3} to \sqrt{T}Helped
Restrict the learner to safe strategies with at most m bid-quantity pairsValue-maximizing buyers · RoI-feasible strategies with at most m bid-quantity pairsrichness ratio: \alpha=1/2Hurt
Allow the clairvoyant m' bid-quantity pairs instead of the learner's mSafe bidding strategies · Safe strategies with at most m' bid-quantity pairsrichness ratio: \alpha=m/m'Hurt
Allow the clairvoyant m' bid-quantity pairs and strategies that are only RoI-feasible for the bid historySafe bidding strategies with at most m bid-quantity pairs · RoI-feasible strategies with at most m' bid-quantity pairsrichness ratio: \alpha=m/2m'Hurt
Evaluate safe strategies against RoI-feasible strategies on semi-synthetic EU ETS dataSafe bidding strategies with at most m bid-quantity pairs · EU ETS emission permit auction data, 2022 and 2023empirical richness ratio lower bound: 0.95Helped
Increase the safe-strategy class from 1 to 10 bid-quantity pairsSafe bidding strategies on semi-synthetic EU ETS data · EU ETS emission permit auction data, 2022 and 2023empirical richness ratio: \sim0.8Helped

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: EU ETS emission permit auction data (2022, 2023, aggregate statistics, semi-synthetic reconstruction)

Benchmarks: EU ETS semi-synthetic auction data

Metrics: regret richness ratio

Baselines: naive Hedge over paths naive EXP3 over paths quasilinear bidding learning algorithms

Builds on: Hedge EXP3 weight-pushing algorithm

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