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HyperIV: Real-time Implied Volatility Smoothing

ICML 2025 · Architectures and efficiency › RNNs and normalization · approach: Scalable approximation and equivariant compute · 0 citations (OpenAlex)

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Proposes HyperIV, a hypernetwork that maps 9 sparse option quotes to a compact MLP generating an implied volatility surface in about 2 ms, with auxiliary losses encouraging no static arbitrage.

Problem

Constructing complete implied volatility surfaces in real time from very sparse (fewer than 10) option observations at high frequency, where traditional calibration is too slow and data is scarce.

Approach

A hypernetwork (Transformer set encoder with mean pooling) takes a reference set of 9 option contracts and outputs the weights of a tiny MLP (337 parameters) that defines the volatility surface over log-moneyness and maturity, so no per-interval calibration is needed; arbitrage-free conditions are enforced via auxiliary loss terms rather than hard constraints.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use HyperIV instead of GNOSPX 1-min implied volatility smoothing · SPX 1-minMAE (implied volatility): 0.0140 -> 0.0167Hurt
Use HyperIV instead of the strongest baselineNDX 1-min implied volatility smoothing · NDX 1-minMAE (implied volatility): 0.0162 -> 0.0156Helped
Use HyperIV instead of the strongest baselineSPX, NDX, RUT, VIX, MXWLD, and MXEF 1-day implied volatility smoothing · 1-day index optionsMAE (implied volatility)Helped
Use HyperIV instead of the strongest baselineSPX 1-min price smoothing · SPX 1-minMAE (price): 2.2398 -> 2.5115Hurt
Use HyperIV instead of GNONDX 1-min price smoothing · NDX 1-minMAE (price): 10.2187 -> 10.0043Helped
Use HyperIV instead of the strongest baseline1-day option-price smoothing · SPX, NDX, RUT, VIX, MXWLD, and MXEF 1-dayMAE (price)Helped
Use HyperIV instead of SSVIMXWLD and MXEF implied-volatility smoothing · MXWLD and MXEF 1-dayMAE (implied volatility)Helped
Use HyperIV instead of GNONDX-to-SPX cross-asset transfer · NDX→SPX 1-minMAE: 0.1272 -> 0.0349Helped
Use HyperIV instead of GNOSPX-to-NDX cross-asset transfer · SPX→NDX 1-minMAE: 0.0185 -> 0.0223Hurt

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: OptionMetrics SPX/NDX/RUT/VIX index options (1-min and end-of-day) MSCI World and MSCI Emerging Markets index options

Benchmarks: Test MAE on implied volatility across 8 index option datasets Test MAE on option prices Cross-asset generalization MAE

Metrics: mean absolute error (implied volatility) mean absolute error (price) testing time (ms) training time memory

Baselines: SSVI VAE GNO

Builds on: Hypernetworks (Ha et al., 2016) SSVI Graph neural operator (Gonon et al., 2024) VAE calibration-free surface (Bergeron et al., 2021)

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