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Sharp Generalization for Nonparametric Regression by Over-Parameterized Neural Networks: A Distribution-Free Analysis in Spherical Covariate

ICML 2025 · Learning theory and algorithms › Kernels and regression theory · approach: Neural tangent kernel analysis

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Shows that an over-parameterized two-layer ReLU network trained by GD with early stopping achieves the sharp nonparametric regression rate O(ε_n^2) under distribution-free spherical covariates, matching minimax rates without distributional assumptions.

Problem

Obtaining sharp (minimax-optimal) nonparametric regression rates for over-parameterized neural networks trained by gradient descent with early stopping, without distributional assumptions on the covariate beyond lying on the unit sphere.

Approach

Decomposes the GD-trained network function into an RKHS function of the NTK plus a small-L∞ error term, and uses local Rademacher complexity to bound the complexity of all GD-reachable networks, yielding an O(ε_n^2) risk bound with width depending only on d and ε_n (not on the empirical NTK minimum eigenvalue).

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Train an over-parameterized two-layer NN by GD with early stoppingTwo-layer ReLU NN · Nonparametric regression, spherical covariaterisk: O\(\epsilon_n^2\)Helped
Train an over-parameterized two-layer NN by GD with early stoppingTwo-layer ReLU NN · Nonparametric regression, polynomial EDRrisk: O(n^{-\frac{d}{2d-1}})Helped
Use early stopping for GDTwo-layer ReLU NN · Nonparametric regression, spherical covariaterisk: O\(\epsilon_n^2\)Helped

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Metrics: nonparametric regression risk (L2 expected squared error)

Baselines: Hu et al. 2021 Suh et al. 2022 Li et al. 2024 Kuzborskij & Szepesvári 2021 Raskutti et al. 2014 kernel regression

Builds on: Neural Tangent Kernel Raskutti et al. 2014 kernel regression early stopping Hu et al. 2021 Suh et al. 2022 Li et al. 2024

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