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Online Learning in the Random-Order Model
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Shows that stochastic online learners can fail under random-order inputs, proposes the SIMULATION template that adapts i.i.d. algorithms to random order, and applies it to delayed feedback, constrained online learning, and bandits with switching costs, plus a VC-dimension characterization for random-order classification.
Problem
Online learning when the adversary fixes the loss sequence but it is presented in uniformly random order; stochastic algorithms can fail due to finite-time non-stationarity, while adversarial algorithms are too pessimistic.
Approach
A general template (SIMULATION) that partitions time into geometrically growing blocks, simulates an i.i.d. distribution from past data, trains a stochastic algorithm on that simulated past, and plays the resulting action frequencies on the next block; sampling without replacement concentrates around the same means, so regret matches the i.i.d. rate.
Key results
- Birthday-Test achieves O(sqrt(T log T)) regret on i.i.d. inputs but suffers Omega(T) regret on a random-order instance.
- SIMULATION for delayed feedback achieves O(sqrt(T log T) + d log T) regret in the random-order model.
- Bandits with switching costs in random order achieve O(sqrt(k T log^3 T)) regret; for classification, ERM in random order has regret at most 8 sqrt(VC T log(T/VC)).
Measured effects reported in the paper
| What was changed | Where | Measured | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apply Birthday-Test rather than a stochastic no-regret routine alone | Prediction with Experts · stochastic i.i.d. | regret: O(\sqrt{T\log T}) | Helped |
| Use Birthday-Test on a random-order instance with distinct action-1 losses | Prediction with Experts · random order | regret: \Omega(T) | Hurt |
| Apply Simulation with Follow-The-Leader | Prediction with delayed feedback · random order | regret: O(\sqrt{T \log T} + d \log T) | Helped |
| Apply Simulation with a stochastic constrained-learning routine | Online learning with long-term constraints · random order | regret: \widetilde O(\nicefrac{1}{\rho^2}+\nicefrac{\sqrt{T}}\rho) | Helped |
| Apply Simulation with a stochastic constrained-learning routine | Online learning with long-term constraints · random order | constraint violations: zero | Helped |
| Use Simulation-successive-elimination with geometrically increasing blocks | Bandits with switching costs · random order | regret: O(\sqrt{k T \log^3 T}) | Helped |
| Choose the empirical loss minimizer from past examples | Binary classification · random order | regret: 8\sqrt{\VC T\log\left(\frac{T}{\VC}\right)} | Helped |
| Use stochastic algorithms directly without adapting them for random order | Stochastic learning algorithms · random-order inputs | regret | Mixed |
Surprising findings
- A simple algorithm that is no-regret on i.i.d. inputs (Birthday-Test) fails linearly on random-order inputs.
- In random order, online classification learnability is characterized by VC dimension rather than Littlestone dimension.
Limitations
- Bandit feedback is not handled by a black-box reduction; a simplified SSE-based variant is analyzed.
- Constrained setting adds an extra 1/rho^2 term in regret instead of matching the stochastic bound exactly.
- Results are theoretical with no empirical evaluation.
Experimental setup
Metrics: expected regret
Baselines: Follow-the-Leader Birthday-Test adversarial algorithms (Hedge/EXP3-type)
Builds on: Follow-the-Leader successive elimination Bandits with Knapsacks Hoeffding inequality for sampling without replacement
Closest papers by meaning
- Combining Adversarial Guarantees and Stochastic Fast Rates in Online Learning (NeurIPS 2016 · similarity 0.90)
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- From Average Sensitivity to Small-Loss Regret Bounds under Random-Order Model (NeurIPS 2026 · similarity 0.90)
- Online Convex Optimization in the Random Order Model (ICML 2020 · similarity 0.89)
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