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Spatio-Temporal Neural Structural Causal Models for Bike Flow Prediction

AAAI 2023 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Causal discovery · approach: Latent-variable causal estimation · 32 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
remove geographical distance graph (ablation)STNSCM · NYC-BikeMAE: 2.6701 -> 2.7101Hurt
remove transition probability graph (ablation)STNSCM · NYC-BikeMAE: 2.6701 -> 2.7124Hurt
remove dynamic causal graph (ablation)STNSCM · NYC-BikeMAE: 2.6701 -> 2.7411Hurt
remove squeeze-excitation from dynamic causality generator (ablation)STNSCM · NYC-BikeMAE: 2.6701 -> 2.7074Hurt
remove previous spatio-temporal state from dynamic causality generator (ablation)STNSCM · NYC-BikeMAE: 2.6701 -> 2.7300Hurt
remove input-gate features from dynamic causality generator (ablation)STNSCM · NYC-BikeMAE: 2.6701 -> 2.7105Hurt
replace input gate with fully connected feature extraction (ablation)STNSCM · NYC-BikeMAE: 2.6701 -> 2.7266Hurt
remove input gate (ablation)STNSCM · NYC-BikeMAE: 2.6701 -> 2.7239Hurt
remove counterfactual representation reasoning module (ablation)STNSCM · NYC-BikeMAE: 2.6701 -> 2.7041Hurt

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