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Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Point Process for Traffic Congestion Event Prediction

AAAI 2023 · Graph learning › Knowledge and temporal graphs · approach: Spatio-temporal graph traffic forecasting · 64 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use STGNPP rather than FNN-TPPTraffic congestion event prediction · BeijingNLL: 5.46* $\pm$ 0.05 -> 4.87 $\pm$ 0.03Helped
Use STGNPP rather than FNN-TPPTraffic congestion event prediction · ChengduMAE-t (min): 27.13* $\pm$ 0.14 -> 24.52 $\pm$ 0.10Helped
Replace the spatio-temporal graph learning module with Graph WaveNet (ablation)STGNPP · Beijing and ChengduMAE-t: 16.95 -> 17.12; 24.52 -> 24.91Hurt
Remove all GCN layers (ablation)STGNPP · Beijing and ChengduMAE-t: 16.95 -> 18.17; 24.52 -> 26.34Hurt
Remove Transformer layers (ablation)STGNPP · Beijing and ChengduMAE-t: 16.95 -> 18.45; 24.52 -> 27.10Hurt
Replace continuous GRU with fully connected networks (ablation)STGNPP · Beijing and ChengduMAE-t: 16.95 -> 18.68; 24.52 -> 27.89Hurt
Replace continuous GRU with discrete GRU (ablation)STGNPP · Beijing and ChengduMAE-t: 16.95 -> 18.38; 24.52 -> 27.65Hurt
Remove periodic gated unit from intensity function (ablation)STGNPP · Beijing and ChengduMAE-t: 16.95 -> 18.29; 24.52 -> 26.11Hurt

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