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Confidential Guardian: Cryptographically Prohibiting the Abuse of Model Abstention

ICML 2025 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Uncertainty and Gaussian processes · approach: Epistemic versus aleatoric decomposition · 0 citations (OpenAlex)

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Shows a dishonest model owner can covertly suppress confidence in targeted input regions (Mirage attack) without hurting accuracy, and proposes Confidential Guardian, a ZKP-based calibration (ECE) audit to detect such artificial uncertainty.

Problem

Institutions can abuse abstention mechanisms in cautious predictions to covertly deny services to targeted groups by artificially lowering model confidence while keeping accuracy, evading accuracy-based audits.

Approach

An uncertainty-inducing regularizer (Mirage) that pulls predictions in a chosen region toward a label-smoothed, near-uniform target via KL divergence while keeping CE elsewhere; and a zero-knowledge protocol that lets an auditor verify per-bin calibration error on a reference set against a public threshold without seeing model weights.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Apply Mirage uncertainty-inducing fine-tuning in the designated regionClassifier on Gaussian, CIFAR-100, UTKFace, Credit, and Adult · All five datasetsaccuracy: 97.62 -> 97.58; 83.98 -> 83.92; 56.91 -> 56.98; 91.71 -> 91.78; 85.02 -> 84.93No clear effect
Apply Mirage uncertainty-inducing fine-tuning in the designated regionClassifier on Gaussian, CIFAR-100, UTKFace, Credit, and Adult · All five datasetsECE: 0.0327 -> 0.0910; 0.0662 -> 0.1821; 0.0671 -> 0.1728; 0.0094 -> 0.0292; 0.0109 -> 0.0234Hurt
Apply Mirage uncertainty-inducing fine-tuning in the designated regionConfidential Guardian calibration audit · All five datasetsCalE in ε bin: 0.3721; 0.5845; 0.3287; 0.1135; 0.0916Hurt
Remove more uncertainty-region samples from the reference dataset (ablation)Confidential Guardian · All datasetsdetection performanceHurt
Increase the fraction of uncertainty-region samples removed from the reference dataset (ablation)Confidential Guardian · All datasetscalibration-based attack detectabilityHurt
Use lower ε for Mirage (ablation)Mirage · All experimentsuncertainty induction strengthHelped
Use lower ε for Mirage (ablation)Confidential Guardian · All experimentsattack detectabilityHelped
Use higher ε for Mirage (ablation)Confidential Guardian · All experimentsattack detectabilityHurt

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: Synthetic Gaussian Mixture CIFAR-100 UTKFace Adult Credit

Benchmarks: CIFAR-100 UTKFace Adult Credit Synthetic Gaussian Mixture

Metrics: accuracy accuracy in uncertainty region expected calibration error calibration error in epsilon bin runtime per point communication per point

Baselines: Mystique

Builds on: label smoothing temperature scaling zero-knowledge proof of correct inference (Mystique) emp-toolkit

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