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Structure-informed Risk Minimization for Robust Ensemble Learning

ICML 2025 · Learning theory and algorithms › Prediction and decision losses · approach: Distributionally robust optimization · 0 citations (OpenAlex)

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Proposes Structure-informed Risk Minimization (SRM), which learns OoD-robust ensemble weights by building a DRO-style uncertainty set over training distributions weighted by a graph-centrality prior on a distributional graph.

Problem

Ensemble weights tuned on validation data may not transfer to unseen OoD test distributions, while standard DRO uncertainty sets are overly pessimistic because they ignore structure among distributions.

Approach

Builds a graph over training distributions with Gaussian-approximated 2-Wasserstein edge weights, derives a closeness-centrality prior, and restricts the adversarial mixture weights to a divergence ball around this prior, so the minimax optimization over ensemble weights focuses on plausible shifts rather than arbitrary worst cases.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use SRM instead of DROensemble learning · TerraIncognitaaccuracy (%): 49.54% vs DRO’s 48.96%Helped
Use SRM instead of DROFMoW-WILDS · Test Before 2004worst-region accuracy (%): 54.44% ... (53.21%)Helped
Use SRM instead of DROFMoW-WILDS · Test Middle (2009-2011)worst-region accuracy (%): 62.46%Helped
Use SRM instead of DROFMoW-WILDS · Test After 2016worst-region accuracy (%): 37.81% ... (36.98%)Helped
Add structural regularization with moderate λ (around 1.0) rather than λ = 0 (ablation)SRM · FMoW-WILDS Test Middle and Test After 2016worst-region accuracy (%)Helped
Increase λ beyond 1.5 (ablation)SRM · FMoW-WILDS Test Middle and Test After 2016worst-region accuracy (%)Hurt
Increase the ensemble pool from 2 models; returns diminish beyond 7-8 models (ablation)SRM · FMoW-WILDSworst-region accuracy (%)Mixed
Replace 2-Wasserstein distance with Diffusion EMD (ablation)SRM distribution graph · FMoW-WILDS Test After 2016worst-region accuracy (%): 38.1 -> 38.0Hurt
Replace 2-Wasserstein distance with EMD (ablation)SRM distribution graph · FMoW-WILDS Test After 2016running time (s): 28.1 -> 516.4Hurt
Use closeness centrality rather than other centrality measures (ablation)SRM · FMoW-WILDS Test After 2016worst-region accuracy (%): 0.07%Helped
Prune edges to retain moderate graph sparsity (40-70 % edges) (ablation)SRM distribution graph · FMoW-WILDS Test After 2016worst-region accuracy (%)Helped
Make the graph excessively sparse (below 30 % edges) (ablation)SRM distribution graph · FMoW-WILDS Test After 2016worst-region accuracy (%)Hurt

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: DomainBed (PACS, VLCS, OfficeHome, TerraIncognita, DomainNet) FMoW-WILDS

Benchmarks: DomainBed FMoW-WILDS

Metrics: average accuracy worst-region accuracy

Baselines: Uniform Ensemble Greedy Selection ERM Uniform Prior Laplacian Prior Group DRO

Builds on: Group DRO empirical risk minimization Wasserstein distance

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