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UncertainSAM: Fast and Efficient Uncertainty Quantification of the Segment Anything Model

ICML 2025 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Uncertainty and Gaussian processes · approach: Epistemic versus aleatoric decomposition · 0 citations (OpenAlex)

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Proposes a Bayesian entropy decomposition of SAM uncertainty into model, prompt, and task components, and USAM, lightweight MLPs that estimate these uncertainties deterministically from SAM tokens.

Problem

Uncertainty quantification for the Segment Anything Model is hard because SAM is class- and task-agnostic: uncertainty comes from under-parameterized models, insufficient prompts, and ambiguous tasks, and existing UQ methods (MC sampling, ensembles, TTA, SamScore) are costly or do not separate these

Approach

Decompose SAM predictive uncertainty into epistemic (model size), aleatoric prompt, and task components via a Bayesian entropy approximation, then train post-hoc MLPs on SAM's mask and IoU tokens to directly predict expected IoU and the gaps between uncertainty sources, avoiding sampling at test time.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
use USAM_L to estimate segmentation uncertainty instead of SamScoreSAM Large · DAVIS, ADE20k, MOSE, COCO, and SA-Vrel. AUC (%): 91.59; 92.60; 92.78; 90.01; 89.37Helped
use direct USAM model-gap estimate Delta*_Theta instead of SamScoreSAM Tiny-to-Large model selection · ADE20k and COCOrel. AUC (%): 52.85 -> 61.55; 57.97 -> 66.60Helped
use Bayesian model entropy H_Theta instead of SamScoreSAM Tiny-to-Large model selection · DAVIS, MOSE, and SA-Vrel. AUC (%): 64.25 -> 73.46; 68.44 -> 75.60; 58.83 -> 65.66Helped
use direct USAM prompt-gap estimate Delta*_XP instead of SamScoreSAM prompt refinement · DAVIS, ADE20k, MOSE, COCO, and SA-Vrel. AUC (%): 75.53; 83.41; 74.50; 78.89; 71.27Helped
use USAM task-gap estimate Delta_A instead of Bayesian task entropy H_ASAM task uncertainty · DAVIS, ADE20k, MOSE, COCO, and SA-Vrel. AUC (%): 94.05; 93.08; 94.21; 94.85; 94.17Helped
use full predictive entropy H_Y instead of SamScoreSAM overall uncertainty · DAVIS, ADE20k, MOSE, COCO, and SA-Vrel. AUC (%): 83.36 -> 38.79; 75.40 -> 46.87; 89.48 -> 56.58; 79.60 -> 45.36; 80.80 -> 57.32Hurt
add the mask token to the MLP input (ablation)USAM · COCOmodel uncertainty rel. AUC (%): 61.19% -> 63.66%Helped
add the IoU token to the MLP input (ablation)USAM · COCOmodel uncertainty rel. AUC (%): 62.63% -> 63.66%Helped
add the mask token to the MLP input (ablation)USAM · COCOprompt uncertainty rel. AUC (%): 72.08% -> 78.30%Helped
add the IoU token to the MLP input (ablation)USAM · COCOprompt uncertainty rel. AUC (%): 76.42% -> 78.30%Helped
add the mask token to the MLP input (ablation)USAM · COCOtask uncertainty rel. AUC (%): 86.89% -> 94.82%Helped
add the IoU token to the MLP input (ablation)USAM · COCOtask uncertainty rel. AUC (%): 91.96% -> 94.82%Helped

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: SA-V MOSE ADE20k DAVIS COCO

Benchmarks: DAVIS ADE20k MOSE COCO SA-V

Metrics: relative AUC of mIoU under uncertainty-ordered correction Pearson correlation runtime (seconds per iteration)

Baselines: SamScore mask entropy H_Std Bayesian predictive entropy H_Y Bayesian epistemic entropy H_Theta Bayesian prompt entropy H_XP Bayesian task entropy H_A

Builds on: Segment Anything Model deep ensembles test-time augmentation SMAC3

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