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Ranked from Within: Ranking Large Multimodal Models Without Labels

ICML 2025 · Vision-language and multimodal › Visual question answering · approach: Multimodal LLM question answering · 0 citations (OpenAlex)

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Studies whether pre-trained large multimodal models can be ranked on unlabeled target data using uncertainty scores (token NLL, entropy, sample consistency, ATC) instead of labels, evaluated across 45-47 LMMs and 8-9 VQA benchmarks.

Problem

Ranking pre-trained LMMs for a new target dataset without ground-truth labels; existing benchmark-based rankings are unstable across domains.

Approach

Use the model's own output uncertainty (softmax NLL/entropy over generated tokens, sample-based self-consistency, or ATC thresholds from a proxy labeled set) as a label-free proxy for true performance, finding sequence-level NLL to be the most robust.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use NLLmax instead of AoL for label-free model rankingLMM ranking across benchmarks · Average across eight benchmarksSpearman's rank correlation (ρ): 0.60 -> 0.76Helped
Use negative log-likelihood rather than normalized entropyLMM ranking across benchmarks · Seven of eight benchmarksranking correlationHelped
Use the first-token uncertainty score for multiple-choice questionsLMM ranking · MCVQranking correlationHelped
Use the penultimate-token uncertainty score for open-ended answersLMM ranking · VQAranking correlationHelped
Aggregate uncertainty across all generated tokens rather than using a single tokenLMM ranking · Across MCVQ and VQAranking stabilityHelped
Use Sample*BERT with the full answer text rather than SampleBERT on single-letter answersLMM ranking · Four MCVQ benchmarksSpearman's rank correlation (ρ): 0.66 -> 0.73Helped
Use stochastic sample-based scoresLMM ranking · VQA compared with MCVQranking correlationMixed
Use AoL as the sole proxy for a new target domainLMM ranking · Seven of eight benchmarksranking correlationHurt
Use a different proxy dataset to set the ATC thresholdATC model ranking · Target domainscorrelation with model performanceMixed
Use 50 labeled target-domain samples instead of NLLmaxLLaVA-prismatic ranking · MMMUSpearman's rank correlation (ρ): 0.56 -> 0.35Hurt

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: ScienceQA AI2D ChartQA OCRVQA TextVQA DocVQA RealWorldQA MMMU GQA

Benchmarks: ScienceQA-IMG AI2D RealWorldQA MMMU GQA ChartQA OCRVQA TextVQA DocVQA

Metrics: Spearman rho weighted Kendall tau_w

Baselines: AoL ATC Sample-BLEU Sample-BERT labeled 50-sample subset

Builds on: accuracy-on-the-line average thresholded confidence semantic entropy BERTScore

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