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Provable Length Generalization in Sequence Prediction via Spectral Filtering

ICML 2025 · Learning theory and algorithms › Kernels and regression theory · approach: Information-theoretic generalization bounds · 0 citations (OpenAlex)

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Introduces Asymmetric-Regret to formalize length generalization in sequence prediction and proves that gradient-based spectral filtering trained with short context T^q achieves sublinear regret against full-context-T predictors for certain LDSs, with a two-autoregressive variant and tensorized filters, plus small synthetic and induction-heads/copy experiments.

Problem

Length generalization in online sequence prediction: learning with a short context length while competing with predictors that use a much longer context, especially for marginally-stable linear dynamical systems where long memory matters.

Approach

Defines Asymmetric-Regret, comparing a learner restricted to context L' against a benchmark with context L > L'. Shows that online gradient descent on spectral filters trained with short context T^q matches full-context spectral filtering up to O(sqrt(T)) for LDSs with constrained eigenvalues; adds a second autoregressive term to remove the spectral assumption, and tensorized filters for greater e

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Train vanilla spectral filtering with context length T^{7/8} rather than full context TSpectral Filtering with Limited Context · Synthetic LDS, eigenvalues sampled from Region Aprediction loss: T^{7/8}Helped
Use context length T^{1/2} instead of a context length approaching T^{7/8}Spectral Filtering with Limited Context · Synthetic LDS, eigenvalues sampled from Region Aprediction loss: T^{1/2}Hurt
Train vanilla spectral filtering with limited context on eigenvalues in Region BSpectral Filtering with Limited Context · Synthetic LDS, eigenvalues sampled from Region Bprediction lossHurt
Add a second autoregressive component, y_{t-2} (ablation)Spectral Filtering with Limited Context · Synthetic LDS, eigenvalues sampled from Region Bprediction loss: \sqrt{T}Helped
Tensorize the spectral filters (ablation)STU · Induction headsaccuracyHelped
Tensorize the spectral filters (ablation)STU · Copy taskaccuracyHelped
Tensorize the spectral filters (ablation)Spectral Filtering · Synthetic LDSlength generalizationNo clear effect
Train vanilla STU with filters longer than the training context, without autoregressive componentsSTU · Induction headsaccuracy: T = 256Mixed

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: synthetic noiseless LDS sequences induction heads synthetic task copy task (synthetic)

Benchmarks: synthetic LDS prediction induction heads copy task

Metrics: prediction loss accuracy regret

Baselines: vanilla spectral filtering STU without tensorization full-context spectral filtering

Builds on: spectral filtering Spectral Transform Unit online gradient descent

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