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Accelerating Unbiased LLM Evaluation via Synthetic Feedback

ICML 2025 · Large language models › Alignment and preferences · approach: LLM-as-judge and feedback data · 0 citations (OpenAlex)

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Proposes Control Variates Evaluation, which uses synthetic LLM/reward-model feedback as a control variate to cut the number of human annotations needed for unbiased head-to-head win-rate estimation, with optional finetuning of the synthetic evaluator.

Problem

Head-to-head LLM win-rate evaluation with human feedback is costly and can degrade user experience, while synthetic (LLM-as-a-judge or reward model) feedback is cheap but biased.

Approach

Apply the classical control variates technique so that a biased synthetic evaluator reduces variance of the human-based win-rate estimate while keeping it unbiased; the variance reduction equals the squared correlation between human and synthetic preferences, giving a predictable human annotation saving ratio. Optionally finetune the reward model on existing human annotations to raise this correla

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
finetune GRM-2B on existing human annotations (ablation)Control Variates Evaluation with GRM-2B · Chatbot Arenahuman annotation saving ratio: 10.6% -> 17.1%Helped
finetune GRM-2B on existing human annotations (ablation)Control Variates Evaluation with GRM-2B · MT Benchhuman annotation saving ratio: 5.7% -> 10.9%Helped
finetune Skywork-8B on existing human annotations (ablation)Control Variates Evaluation with Skywork-8B · Chatbot Arenahuman annotation saving ratio: 8.3% -> 24.8%Helped
finetune Skywork-8B on existing human annotations (ablation)Control Variates Evaluation with Skywork-8B · MT Benchhuman annotation saving ratio: 7.5% -> 12.6%Helped
use Control Variates Evaluation instead of Synthetic Evaluation aloneLLM win-rate evaluation · Chatbot Arenamean square errorHelped
use a small reward model as the control variate with GPT-4 as the strong evaluatorLLM-as-a-judge evaluation · Chatbot ArenaGPT-4 annotation sample saving: 22.8%Helped

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: Chatbot Arena MT Bench

Benchmarks: Chatbot Arena MT Bench

Metrics: human annotation saving ratio mean square error bias

Baselines: Human Evaluation Synthetic Evaluation GPT-4 as judge Human (shifted)

Builds on: control variates prediction-powered inference Bradley-Terry model

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