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Understanding Fixed Predictions via Confined Regions
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Proposes finding confined boxes (regions where all individuals receive fixed predictions) for linear classifiers via a MIQCP built on Farkas certificates, enabling data-free, out-of-sample recourse auditing.
Problem
Existing recourse verification audits fixed predictions pointwise on observed data, so it misses fixed predictions for out-of-sample individuals and cannot be used when no representative dataset is available.
Approach
Verify recourse over entire regions rather than individuals by searching for the largest axis-aligned box in which every individual has no feasible recourse, certified via Farkas certificates of infeasibility cast as a MIQCP; under linear recourse constraints the discrete problem reduces to a linear relaxation via total unimodularity.
Key results
- Pointwise baselines produce blindspots on 2.8% to 37.4% of audited regions and loopholes on 0.6% to 20% of regions.
- The proposed Region Verification method finds zero blindspots and zero loopholes across all three datasets.
- The approach runs in under 5 seconds on average across datasets, and enumerates at least 100 confined regions on benchmark datasets with fewer than 50 features.
Measured effects reported in the paper
| What was changed | Where | Measured | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Use region-level verification instead of Data pointwise auditing | L1-regularized logistic regression · FICO | blindspot rate: 12.3% -> 0.0% | Helped |
| Use region-level verification instead of Data pointwise auditing | L1-regularized logistic regression · FICO | loophole rate: 0.6% -> 0.0% | Helped |
| Use region-level verification instead of Data pointwise auditing | L1-regularized logistic regression · GiveMeCredit | blindspot rate: 0.0% -> 0.0% | No clear effect |
| Use region-level verification instead of Region pointwise auditing | L1-regularized logistic regression · GiveMeCredit | loophole rate: 0.8% -> 0.0% | Helped |
| Use region-level verification instead of Region pointwise auditing | L1-regularized logistic regression · Twitterbot | blindspot rate: 0.0% -> 0.0% | No clear effect |
| Use region-level verification instead of Region pointwise auditing | L1-regularized logistic regression · Twitterbot | loophole rate: 20.0% -> 0.0% | Helped |
Surprising findings
- Pointwise audits using observed data can output responsive for regions that actually contain confined individuals (blindspots), even with 100 sampled points or the full training data.
Limitations
- Limited to linear classifiers and MILP-representable models; tree ensembles would need intractable MIQCPs.
- Confined boxes have limited expressive power and may need many boxes to characterize regions.
- Relaxed FCP gives only weaker guarantees when non-linear recourse constraints are present.
Experimental setup
Datasets: heloc givemecredit twitterbot Pennsylvania Sentencing Risk Assessment Instrument (SRAI)
Benchmarks: heloc givemecredit twitterbot
Metrics: certifies responsive outputs responsive blindspot rate certifies confined outputs confined loophole rate runtime
Baselines: Data pointwise audit Region sampling audit Score-based pointwise audit
Builds on: Farkas' lemma recourse verification Reach package
Closest papers by meaning
- Kandinsky Conformal Prediction: Beyond Class- and Covariate-Conditional Coverage (ICML 2025 · similarity 0.83)
- Self-Organized Conformal Prediction: Reducing Regional Coverage Gaps with Unsupervised Group Discovery (NeurIPS 2026 · similarity 0.83)
- Conformal Prediction with Learned Features (ICML 2024 · similarity 0.83)
- Prediction without Preclusion: Recourse Verification with Reachable Sets (ICLR 2024 · similarity 0.82)
- Regional Explanations: Bridging Local and Global Variable Importance (NeurIPS 2025 · similarity 0.82)
- Conformal Prediction Regions for Time Series Using Linear Complementarity Programming (AAAI 2024 · similarity 0.82)
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