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Understanding Fixed Predictions via Confined Regions

ICML 2025 · Learning theory and algorithms › Prediction and decision losses · approach: Data attribution and recourse · 0 citations (OpenAlex)

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Proposes finding confined boxes (regions where all individuals receive fixed predictions) for linear classifiers via a MIQCP built on Farkas certificates, enabling data-free, out-of-sample recourse auditing.

Problem

Existing recourse verification audits fixed predictions pointwise on observed data, so it misses fixed predictions for out-of-sample individuals and cannot be used when no representative dataset is available.

Approach

Verify recourse over entire regions rather than individuals by searching for the largest axis-aligned box in which every individual has no feasible recourse, certified via Farkas certificates of infeasibility cast as a MIQCP; under linear recourse constraints the discrete problem reduces to a linear relaxation via total unimodularity.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use region-level verification instead of Data pointwise auditingL1-regularized logistic regression · FICOblindspot rate: 12.3% -> 0.0%Helped
Use region-level verification instead of Data pointwise auditingL1-regularized logistic regression · FICOloophole rate: 0.6% -> 0.0%Helped
Use region-level verification instead of Data pointwise auditingL1-regularized logistic regression · GiveMeCreditblindspot rate: 0.0% -> 0.0%No clear effect
Use region-level verification instead of Region pointwise auditingL1-regularized logistic regression · GiveMeCreditloophole rate: 0.8% -> 0.0%Helped
Use region-level verification instead of Region pointwise auditingL1-regularized logistic regression · Twitterbotblindspot rate: 0.0% -> 0.0%No clear effect
Use region-level verification instead of Region pointwise auditingL1-regularized logistic regression · Twitterbotloophole rate: 20.0% -> 0.0%Helped

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: heloc givemecredit twitterbot Pennsylvania Sentencing Risk Assessment Instrument (SRAI)

Benchmarks: heloc givemecredit twitterbot

Metrics: certifies responsive outputs responsive blindspot rate certifies confined outputs confined loophole rate runtime

Baselines: Data pointwise audit Region sampling audit Score-based pointwise audit

Builds on: Farkas' lemma recourse verification Reach package

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