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Analytical Construction on Geometric Architectures: Transitioning from Static to Temporal Link Prediction

ICML 2025 · Graph learning › Knowledge and temporal graphs · approach: Continuous-time dynamic graph learning

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Proposes a cross-geometric (Euclidean + hyperbolic) dynamic graph framework for temporal link prediction, combining per-ego-graph hyperbolicity-based geometry selection, a temporal state aggregator, and a link evolution loss.

Problem

Temporal link prediction on dynamic graphs where local structures have heterogeneous geometry (hierarchical vs. non-hierarchical) that changes over time, which single-geometry dynamic GNNs fail to capture.

Approach

Selects Euclidean or hyperbolic embeddings per k-hop ego-graph based on Gromov hyperbolicity at each timestamp, aggregates past hidden states via attention-based temporal state aggregation, and adds a link evolution loss that pulls new edges together and pushes lost edges apart.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use the full cross-geometric method instead of the strongest baselineTemporal link prediction · Five datasets: DBLP, Ia-Enron, LFB, HepPh, UNVoteAUC and AP: + 4.17% AUC and + 0.40% AP on DBLP; + 5.25% AUC and + 3.65% AP on Ia-Enron; + 3.80% AUC and + 2.70% AP on LFB; + 4.82% AHelped
Use the full cross-geometric method instead of the strongest baselineTemporal new link prediction · Five datasets: DBLP, Ia-Enron, LFB, HepPh, UNVoteAUC and AP: + 9.69% AUC on DBLP; + 20.49% AUC and + 16.67% AP on Ia-Enron; + 4.66% AUC and + 3.54% AP on LFB; + 5.73% AUC and + 7.46Helped
Add dynamic geometric modeling (DGM) (ablation)Full method on HepPh · Temporal link predictionAUC: - 2.42%Helped
Add temporal state aggregation (TSA) (ablation)Full method on HepPh · Temporal link predictionAUC: - 1.21%Helped
Add link evolution loss (LEL) (ablation)Full method on HepPh · Temporal new link predictionAUC: - 4.85%Helped
Vary k-hop ego-graph radius from 1 to 6; use k of 4 or greater (ablation)DGM on HepPh and LFB · Temporal link and new link predictionAUC and APMixed
Vary embedding dimension from 2 to 16 (ablation)Full method on HepPh and LFB · Temporal link predictionAUCHelped
Replace the hyperbolic component with spherical geometry (ablation)Full method on HepPh and LFB · Link prediction and new link predictionAUC and APHurt

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: DBLP HepPh Ia-Enron LFB UNVote

Benchmarks: DBLP HepPh Ia-Enron LFB UNVote

Metrics: AUC AP

Baselines: EdgeBank GAE GRUGCN EvolveGCN DySAT HGCN HAT HTGN-B HTGN-L HGWaveNet

Builds on: HGCN GRU GCN HTGN HGWaveNet

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