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Analytical Construction on Geometric Architectures: Transitioning from Static to Temporal Link Prediction
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Proposes a cross-geometric (Euclidean + hyperbolic) dynamic graph framework for temporal link prediction, combining per-ego-graph hyperbolicity-based geometry selection, a temporal state aggregator, and a link evolution loss.
Problem
Temporal link prediction on dynamic graphs where local structures have heterogeneous geometry (hierarchical vs. non-hierarchical) that changes over time, which single-geometry dynamic GNNs fail to capture.
Approach
Selects Euclidean or hyperbolic embeddings per k-hop ego-graph based on Gromov hyperbolicity at each timestamp, aggregates past hidden states via attention-based temporal state aggregation, and adds a link evolution loss that pulls new edges together and pushes lost edges apart.
Key results
- On temporal link prediction, the method reports AUC 94.13 on DBLP and 97.19 on HepPh, outperforming the best baseline HGWaveNet (89.96 and 92.37).
- On temporal new link prediction, AUC improves by 20.49% on Ia-Enron over the suboptimal baseline.
- Ablation on LFB shows removing LEL drops new-link AUC by 4.85%, and removing DGM drops link-prediction AUC by 2.42%.
Measured effects reported in the paper
| What was changed | Where | Measured | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Use the full cross-geometric method instead of the strongest baseline | Temporal link prediction · Five datasets: DBLP, Ia-Enron, LFB, HepPh, UNVote | AUC and AP: + 4.17% AUC and + 0.40% AP on DBLP; + 5.25% AUC and + 3.65% AP on Ia-Enron; + 3.80% AUC and + 2.70% AP on LFB; + 4.82% A | Helped |
| Use the full cross-geometric method instead of the strongest baseline | Temporal new link prediction · Five datasets: DBLP, Ia-Enron, LFB, HepPh, UNVote | AUC and AP: + 9.69% AUC on DBLP; + 20.49% AUC and + 16.67% AP on Ia-Enron; + 4.66% AUC and + 3.54% AP on LFB; + 5.73% AUC and + 7.46 | Helped |
| Add dynamic geometric modeling (DGM) (ablation) | Full method on HepPh · Temporal link prediction | AUC: - 2.42% | Helped |
| Add temporal state aggregation (TSA) (ablation) | Full method on HepPh · Temporal link prediction | AUC: - 1.21% | Helped |
| Add link evolution loss (LEL) (ablation) | Full method on HepPh · Temporal new link prediction | AUC: - 4.85% | Helped |
| Vary k-hop ego-graph radius from 1 to 6; use k of 4 or greater (ablation) | DGM on HepPh and LFB · Temporal link and new link prediction | AUC and AP | Mixed |
| Vary embedding dimension from 2 to 16 (ablation) | Full method on HepPh and LFB · Temporal link prediction | AUC | Helped |
| Replace the hyperbolic component with spherical geometry (ablation) | Full method on HepPh and LFB · Link prediction and new link prediction | AUC and AP | Hurt |
Surprising findings
- Spherical geometry embedding did not improve over Euclidean or the hybrid hyperbolic-Euclidean approach on HepPh and LFB.
- The method's performance on UNVote is nearly identical to the baselines in the main link prediction table (AUC 61.68 vs. 61.40 for HTGN-B).
Limitations
- Fixed hyperparameter k=4 for ego-graph hyperbolicity, and large k collapses toward Euclidean-only behavior.
- Only Euclidean and hyperbolic (plus one spherical extension) geometries are considered.
Experimental setup
Datasets: DBLP HepPh Ia-Enron LFB UNVote
Benchmarks: DBLP HepPh Ia-Enron LFB UNVote
Metrics: AUC AP
Baselines: EdgeBank GAE GRUGCN EvolveGCN DySAT HGCN HAT HTGN-B HTGN-L HGWaveNet
Builds on: HGCN GRU GCN HTGN HGWaveNet
Closest papers by meaning
- TMetaNet: Topological Meta-Learning Framework for Dynamic Link Prediction (ICML 2025 · similarity 0.88)
- Future Link Prediction Without Memory or Aggregation (NeurIPS 2025 · similarity 0.87)
- DG-Mamba: Robust and Efficient Dynamic Graph Structure Learning with Selective State Space Models (AAAI 2025 · similarity 0.86)
- Geometry Awakening: Cross-Geometry Learning Exhibits Superiority over Individual Structures (NeurIPS 2024 · similarity 0.86)
- A Deep Probabilistic Framework for Continuous Time Dynamic Graph Generation (AAAI 2025 · similarity 0.86)
- When Graph Neural Networks Meet Dynamic Mode Decomposition (ICLR 2025 · similarity 0.85)
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