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Randomized Confidence Bounds for Stochastic Partial Monitoring

ICML 2024 · Bandits and online learning › Contextual bandits and Thompson sampling · approach: Practical contextual bandit extensions · 0 citations (OpenAlex)

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Randomizes the confidence bounds of CBP-based successive-elimination partial monitoring strategies (RandCBP) and proposes CBP* / RandCBP* for contextual partial monitoring, with regret guarantees and a classifier-error-monitoring use case.

Problem

Stochastic partial monitoring: deterministic CBP-based strategies have regret guarantees on easy and hard games but are empirically outperformed by stochastic strategies; existing contextual PM strategies (CBP-side) do not apply to hard games and IDS-based methods scale poorly.

Approach

Replace the deterministic confidence width in CBP's successive elimination criterion with a width scaled by a random variable drawn from a truncated, discretized Gaussian over [A,B] (randomized confidence bounds), preserving regret guarantees since randomized bounds are upper bounded by deterministic ones; extend the contextual CBP-side with pseudo-count exploration (CBP*) to hard games and random

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
randomize the confidence bounds in CBPCBP · Apple Tasting and Label Efficient games, balanced and imbalanced instancescumulative regretHelped
randomize the confidence bounds in CBPCBP · Balanced Apple Tastingcumulative regret: p-value=0.055No clear effect
randomize the confidence bounds in CBPCBP · Apple Tasting and Label Efficient contextual gamescumulative regret: p-value<0.01Helped
use randomized CBP instead of explore-commitclassifier error-rate monitoring, case 1, τ = 0.025 · τ-detection gamenumber of verifications: 15%Helped
use randomized CBP instead of explore-commitclassifier error-rate monitoring, case 1, τ = 0.2 · τ-detection gamenumber of verifications: 73%Helped
use randomized CBP instead of explore-commitclassifier error-rate monitoring, case 2, τ = 0.025 · τ-detection gamenumber of verifications: 18%Helped
use randomized CBP instead of explore-commitclassifier error-rate monitoring, case 2, τ = 0.2 · τ-detection gamenumber of verifications: 62%Helped
use randomized CBP, CCBP, or explore-commitclassifier error-rate monitoring · τ-detection game, case 1, τ = 0.025average F1-score: 0.96±0.15; 0.95±0.16No clear effect
use randomized CBP, CCBP, or explore-commitclassifier error-rate monitoring · τ-detection game, case 1, τ = 0.2average F1-score: 1.0No clear effect

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Benchmarks: Apple Tasting Label Efficient tau-detection game

Metrics: cumulative regret win-count f1-score number of verifications

Baselines: CBP PM-DMED BPM-Least TSPM TSPM-Gaussian CBP-side IDS-FW PGIDS PGTS STAP CESA Explore-commit

Builds on: CBP CBP-side randomized UCB (Kuang et al.) Thompson sampling

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