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Statistical Properties of Robust Satisficing

ICML 2024 · Learning theory and algorithms › Kernels and regression theory · approach: Statistical perspectives on generalization · 1 citations (OpenAlex)

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Develops statistical theory for the Robust Satisficing model: two-sided non-asymptotic confidence intervals for the optimal loss, finite-sample generalization bounds, extensions under distribution shift, and a DRO correspondence showing RS is less sensitive to its hyperparameter.

Problem

Robust Satisficing (RS) models lack statistical guarantees; existing analyses focus on tractable optimization and experiments, and DRO's radius is hard to tune and can be overconservative.

Approach

RS constrains excess expected loss over a reference value tau by a multiple of Wasserstein distance to the empirical distribution, without a restricted ambiguity set; this structure yields two-sided confidence intervals for J* and generalization bounds via a Wasserstein concentration result, avoiding explicit minimax solving and strong duality assumptions required by DRO.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
use RS instead of ERM in small-sample regimeslinear regression with ℓ1 loss · Sampling distribution, small-sample regimesMSEHelped
increase tolerance rate ε among RS modelsRS · Sampling distribution, small-sample regimesMSEHelped
use RS instead of ERM as sample size increaseslinear regression with ℓ1 loss · Sampling distribution, larger sample sizesMSENo clear effect
increase tolerance rate ε for stronger robustness controlRS · Distribution shift, Degree less than 2MSEHurt
use RS instead of ERMlinear regression with ℓ1 loss · Distribution shift, Degree less than 2MSENo clear effect
use RS instead of ERMlinear regression with ℓ1 loss · Distribution shift, Degree greater than 5MSEHelped
vary RS tolerance rate ε within 15% relative error of its optimum rather than DRO radius rRS compared with DRO · Distribution shift, hyperparameter sensitivityMSE: 0.30 vs 0.125Helped
set DRO radius r below 0.24, with the reported optimum around 0.215DRO · Distribution shiftMSE: 0.24; 0.215Helped
set 1+ε below 1.4, with the reported optimum around 1.285RS · Distribution shiftMSE: 1.4; 1.285Helped

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: synthetic linear regression data (Gaussian features, linear labels with Gaussian noise)

Benchmarks: synthetic linear regression

Metrics: mean squared error on target distribution

Baselines: empirical risk minimization distributionally robust optimization

Builds on: Distributionally Robust Optimization Robust Satisficing Wasserstein concentration of empirical measures

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