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Bounding the Excess Risk for Linear Models Trained on Marginal-Preserving, Differentially-Private, Synthetic Data
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Gives upper and lower bounds on the excess empirical risk of linear models trained on marginal-preserving DP synthetic data, and experiments with AIM synthetic data on six tabular datasets.
Problem
Understanding whether training linear models on DP synthetic data that preserves low-order marginals yields provably low excess empirical risk relative to training on real data.
Approach
Bounds the risk gap between models trained on real and marginal-preserving synthetic data by Bernstein polynomial approximation of the loss, so that each monomial's average is determined by a marginal and the l1 marginal error controls the risk difference; also proves a matching lower bound via non-adaptive statistical queries.
Key results
- With epsilon=2, models trained on AIM synthetic data lose less than 1% accuracy versus real data on five of six datasets; Heart drops 2.2%.
- Excess empirical risk below 0.02 on most datasets at epsilon=2 (Heart: 0.032).
- Lower bound Omega(1/ln^3 n) nearly matches upper bound O(sqrt(ln ln n / ln n)) for worst-case distributions.
Measured effects reported in the paper
| What was changed | Where | Measured | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Train logistic regression on AIM synthetic data rather than real data at ε=2 | Logistic regression · Public datasets other than Heart | accuracy: less than 1% | Hurt |
| Train logistic regression on AIM synthetic data rather than real data at ε=2 | Logistic regression · Public datasets other than Heart | excess empirical risk: less than 0.02 | Hurt |
| Train logistic regression on AIM synthetic data rather than real data at ε=2 | Logistic regression · Heart | accuracy: 2.2% | Hurt |
| Train logistic regression on AIM synthetic data rather than real data at ε=2 | Logistic regression · Heart | excess empirical risk: 0.032 | Hurt |
| Increase the privacy budget ε (ablation) | AIM synthetic data and downstream logistic regression · Six public datasets | accuracy | Helped |
| Increase the privacy budget ε (ablation) | AIM synthetic data and downstream logistic regression · Six public datasets | excess empirical risk | Helped |
| Increase the privacy budget ε (ablation) | AIM synthetic data · Six public datasets | normalized-ℓ1 marginal error | Helped |
| Use the 9-iteration Bernstein approximation instead of the minimax approximation (ablation) | Degree-4 approximation of log(sigmoid(x)) on [-5, 5] · Approximation error | approximation error: 0.061 -> 0.057 | Helped |
| Increase Bernstein approximation iterations from 1 to 4 to 9 (ablation) | Degree-4 approximation of log(sigmoid(x)) on [-5, 5] · Approximation error | approximation error: 0.545 -> 0.100 -> 0.057 | Helped |
| Increase polynomial degree (ablation) | Minimax and iterated Bernstein approximations · Approximation error | approximation error | Helped |
Surprising findings
- Experimental excess risk is well below the worst-case lower bound, suggesting real-world data is easier than the adversarial construction.
Limitations
- Theoretical synthetic data mechanism is computationally inefficient (brute-force search over datasets).
- Analysis restricted to discrete attributes with linear models and convex Lipschitz losses.
- Lower bound is for a worst-case distribution and does not capture real datasets.
Experimental setup
Datasets: Adult Compas Churn Dutch Law Heart
Benchmarks: Adult Compas Churn Dutch Law Heart
Metrics: accuracy ROC-AUC excess empirical risk normalized l1 marginal error
Baselines: DP-SGD PATE real-data training
Builds on: AIM Private-PGM Bernstein polynomial approximation DP-SGD PATE
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- Optimal Differentially Private Model Training with Public Data (ICML 2024 · similarity 0.89)
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- Analysis of Differentially Private Synthetic Data: A Measurement Error Approach (AAAI 2024 · similarity 0.86)
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