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ReDiffuser: Reliable Decision-Making Using a Diffuser with Confidence Estimation

ICML 2024 · Reinforcement learning › Offline RL · approach: Diffusion models for offline decision making

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Proposes ReDiffuser, which adds an RND-based confidence function to Diffuser for offline RL, using it to guide sampling toward reliable decisions via adaptive-horizon and value-embedded planning.

Problem

Diffusion-based offline RL planners produce non-deterministic decisions whose performance is unstable and whose reliability cannot be measured, since conformal-style guarantees need ground truth unavailable in RL.

Approach

Train a Random Network Distillation predictor on historical decisions sampled from a pretrained Diffuser to get a confidence score, then add the confidence as a guidance term to the diffusion sampling distribution; collect training trajectories with diverse horizons (goal-conditioned) or only high-value trajectories (reward-maximization) to realize adaptive-horizon and value-embedded planning.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Add RND-based confidence estimationDiffuser · KUKA block stackingnormalized score: 60.5 ±1.1 -> 67.0 ±1.5Helped
Add adaptive-horizon planningDiffuser · Maze2D Single-Umazescore: 121.8±0.6 -> 145.3 ±1.2Helped
Add adaptive-horizon planningDiffuser · Maze2D Single-Mediumscore: 130.7±0.8 -> 140.3 ±1.8Helped
Add adaptive-horizon planningDiffuser · Maze2D Single-Largescore: 130.0±1.7 -> 159.6 ±3.0Helped
Add adaptive-horizon planningDiffuser · Maze2D Multi-Largescore: 142.3 ±1.6 -> 176.1 ±3.4Helped
Add value-embedded planningDiffuser · Hopper Mediumscore: 92.9 ±12.9 -> 100.2 ±6.0Helped
Add value-embedded planningDiffuser · HalfCheetah Mediumscore: 45.2 ±0.5 -> 45.2 ±0.7No clear effect
Set confidence proportion β to 20.0 rather than 0.0 (ablation)ReDiffuser · KUKA block stackingnormalized score: 60.5 ±1.1 -> 67.0 ±1.5Helped
Set confidence discount power p to 0.4 rather than 0.0 (ablation)ReDiffuser · Maze2D Single-Mediumscore: 81.5 ±4.9 -> 140.3 ±1.8Helped
Set confidence discount power p to 0.6 rather than 0.0 (ablation)ReDiffuser · Maze2D Single-Largescore: 89.2 ±6.3 -> 159.6 ±3.0Helped

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: D4RL Maze2D D4RL MuJoCo locomotion (Medium-Expert, Medium, Medium-Replay) KUKA block stacking (PDDLStream expert data)

Benchmarks: D4RL Maze2D D4RL locomotion KUKA block stacking

Metrics: normalized score (mean and bias over seeds)

Baselines: Diffuser BCQ CQL IQL MPPI DT TT MOPO MOReL MBOP BC

Builds on: Diffuser Random Network Distillation BCQ Decision Diffuser

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