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An Efficient Maximal Ancestral Graph Listing Algorithm

ICML 2024 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Causal discovery · approach: Differentiable and score-based DAG learning

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Proposes MAGLIST, the first brute-force-free algorithm for listing all maximal ancestral graphs (MAGs) in the Markov equivalence class of a PAG, using local vertex transformations with validity conditions and sound and complete orientation rules.

Problem

Listing all MAGs consistent with a partial ancestral graph (PAG) in the presence of latent confounders and selection variables; prior work only had brute-force enumeration.

Approach

Recursively determine the local structure of each vertex: a graphical condition (Thm. 1) prunes invalid local transformations early, and a new orientation rule R11 plus updated rules propagate the consequences, yielding a sound and complete listing with no redundant intermediate graphs.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use MAGLIST instead of brute-force enumerationMAG listing · Simulated PAGsrunning timeHelped
Use MAGLIST instead of brute-force enumerationMAG listing · Simulated PAGs with relatively large d and ρnumber of listed MAGs within 1800 secondsHelped
Use MAGLIST instead of brute-force enumerationMAG listing · Simulated PAGs with d and ρ not largenumber of listed MAGsNo clear effect

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: simulated Erdos-Renyi DAGs with 3 latent variables converted to true MAGs and PAGs

Benchmarks: simulated PAGs with d in {6,...,16} and edge probability in {0.1,...,0.5}

Metrics: running time number of listed MAGs

Baselines: BruteForce enumeration

Builds on: Zhang (2008) FCI orientation rules R1-R10 Wang et al. 2023b local background knowledge rules Meek rules DAG transformation (Chickering 1995)

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