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Learning to Continually Learn with the Bayesian Principle

ICML 2024 · Continual learning › Online and replay-based · approach: Theoretical analysis of forgetting · 1 citations (OpenAlex)

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Proposes Sequential Bayesian Meta-Continual Learning (SB-MCL), where meta-learned neural networks stay fixed while continual learning happens as exact sequential Bayesian updates of an exponential-family posterior over a latent z.

Problem

Continual learning with SGD suffers catastrophic forgetting on non-stationary streams; the paper seeks a meta-continual learning method that is immune to forgetting by design while retaining expressive neural models.

Approach

Meta-train neural networks (learner and model) with SGD only in the outer loop, while continual learning is done in closed form by sequentially updating an exponential-family (factorized Gaussian) posterior over a latent z; the Fisher-Darmois-Koopman-Pitman theorem motivates this choice. Unifies GeMCL, PN, and ALPaCA as special cases.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use SB-MCL instead of TFContinual image classification · Omniglot classificationerror rate: $.014^{\pm .001}$ -> $.008^{\pm .000}$Helped
Use SB-MCL instead of TFContinual image classification · CASIA classificationerror rate: $.004^{\pm .000}$ -> $.002^{\pm .000}$Helped
Use SB-MCL instead of TFContinual image classification · Celeb classificationerror rate: $.228^{\pm .003}$ -> $.231^{\pm .004}$Hurt
Use SB-MCL instead of TFContinual regression · Sine regressionloss: $.0009^{\pm .0001}$ -> $.0011^{\pm .0002}$Hurt
Use SB-MCL instead of TFContinual image completion · CASIA image completionloss: $.097^{\pm .000}$ -> $.100^{\pm .001}$Hurt
Use SB-MCL instead of TFContinual rotation prediction · CASIA rotation predictionloss: $.034^{\pm .001}$ -> $.039^{\pm .001}$Hurt
Use SB-MCL instead of TFContinual image completion · Celeb image completionloss: $.094^{\pm .000}$ -> $.096^{\pm .000}$Hurt
Use SB-MCL instead of OMLContinual generation · CASIA VAEloss: $.442^{\pm .003}$ -> $.428^{\pm .001}$Helped
Use SB-MCL instead of OMLContinual generation · CASIA DDPMloss: $.0353^{\pm .0001}$ -> $.0345^{\pm .0001}$Helped
Use SB-MCL instead of OML-RepContinual generation · Celeb DDPMloss: $.0307^{\pm .0004}$ -> $.0302^{\pm .0004}$Helped
Replace Monte Carlo posterior predictive estimation with MAP estimation (ablation)SB-MCL · CASIA classification, 10 tasks, 10 shotserror rate: $.002^{\pm .000}$ -> $.002^{\pm .000}$No clear effect

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: CASIA MS-Celeb-1M Omniglot Sine wave regression

Benchmarks: CASIA classification Omniglot classification Celeb classification Sine regression CASIA completion CASIA rotation Celeb completion CASIA VAE CASIA DDPM Celeb DDPM

Metrics: error rate loss (MSE / negative log-likelihood-based loss) meta-training time

Baselines: OML OML-Rep Transformer Linear Transformer Offline learning Online learning

Builds on: OML Reptile GeMCL ALPaCA Prototypical Networks

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