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Trust Regions for Explanations via Black-Box Probabilistic Certification
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Introduces black-box probabilistic certification of feature-based explanations, finding the largest l-infinity trust region where an explanation's fidelity stays above a threshold, via three query strategies (unif, unifI, adaptI) with finite-sample and EVT bounds.
Problem
Explanations for black-box models come without guarantees on how stable or widely applicable they are; the goal is to find the largest hypercube around an example where an explanation's quality (e.g., fidelity) provably meets a threshold, using only query access.
Approach
Formulate explanation certification as a search for the largest l-infinity trust region with probabilistic guarantees; propose three sampling strategies (uniform, uniform incremental with Gaussian prototypes, adaptive incremental that concentrates queries on promising prototypes) within a binary-search-like outer loop, with finite-sample bounds and EVT-based asymptotic bounds.
Key results
- On synthetic data, unif, unifI and adaptI converge to the true optimal half-width 1/d and are an order of magnitude or more faster than ZO+ (e.g., d=10^4, Q=10^4: adaptI 88.3 s vs ZO+ 4384.8 s).
- On HELOC, LIME-based explanations let about 80% of LIME queries be saved while covered points satisfy fidelity >= 0.75 with high probability.
- Explanations for examples inside a certified region are more similar to the certified explanation than those outside (top-5 intersection 0.85 vs 0.77; Spearman 0.74 vs 0.61 on HELOC).
Measured effects reported in the paper
| What was changed | Where | Measured | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Use Ecertify instead of ZO$^+$ | Synthetic certification with adaptI · Synthetic d=10^4, Q=10^4 | time (s): $4384.76$ -> $88.342$ | Helped |
| Use adaptI rather than unif | Ecertify · Synthetic d=10^4, Q=10^4 | certified half-width: $8.9\times 10^{-5}$ -> $9.4\times 10^{-5}$ | Mixed |
| Use unif for low-dimensional data, unifI for intermediate dimensions, and adaptI for high dimensions | Ecertify · Synthetic benchmarks across dimensions | certified half-width | Mixed |
| Use certified trust-region coverage to select covered HELOC examples for explanation reuse | LIME explanations · HELOC | model query savings: 80% | Helped |
Surprising findings
- LIME trust regions are typically much larger than SHAP's, yet LIME does not dominate SHAP because its fidelity at the example itself can fall below threshold.
Limitations
- Guarantees are probabilistic and rely on random sampling, so reported half-widths may differ from true ones across runs.
- Results on real data depend on explainer settings and threshold choice, and only fidelity is studied as quality metric.
- Synthetic experiments use a simple three-piece piecewise linear model; generality to large deep networks is only shown on a few image models.
Experimental setup
Datasets: ImageNet CIFAR10 HELOC Arrhythmia synthetic piecewise linear function
Benchmarks: synthetic piecewise linear function ImageNet CIFAR10 HELOC Arrhythmia
Metrics: certified half-width running time (s) fidelity threshold satisfaction query savings explanation similarity (top-5 intersection, Spearman rank co
Baselines: ZO+ (zeroth-order toolbox)
Builds on: LIME SHAP randomized smoothing extreme value theory
Closest papers by meaning
- Reliable Post hoc Explanations: Modeling Uncertainty in Explainability (NeurIPS 2021 · similarity 0.88)
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- Constraint-Driven Explanations for Black-Box ML Models (AAAI 2022 · similarity 0.87)
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- Improving Perturbation-based Explanations by Understanding the Role of Uncertainty Calibration (NeurIPS 2025 · similarity 0.85)
- Faithful Model Explanations through Energy-Constrained Conformal Counterfactuals (AAAI 2024 · similarity 0.85)
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