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Understanding Forgetting in Continual Learning with Linear Regression
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Gives a theoretical upper and matching lower bound on catastrophic forgetting for multi-task SGD in linear regression across under- and overparameterized regimes, and validates with linear and small-DNN simulations.
Problem
Theoretical understanding of catastrophic forgetting in continual learning is limited; prior analyses rely on Gaussian data, noiseless models, or minimum-norm interpolators that require zero training error and overparameterization.
Approach
Analyzes forgetting for multi-step SGD on sequential linear regression tasks under general fourth-moment conditions and well-specified noise, deriving bias-variance upper and lower bounds in terms of covariance spectra, step size, sample size, and task order; shows that training tasks with larger eigenvalues later increases forgetting when data size is large, and that smaller step sizes mitigate f
Measured effects reported in the paper
| What was changed | Where | Measured | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| train tasks with larger covariance eigenvalues later | linear regression · Synthetic continual learning, under-parameterized | average excess risk (forgetting) | Hurt |
| train tasks with larger covariance eigenvalues later | Deep Neural Networks · Synthetic continual learning | forgetting | Hurt |
| use a smaller step size | linear regression · Synthetic continual learning, across task sequences and dimensionalities | average excess risk (forgetting) | Helped |
| use a smaller step size | Deep Neural Networks · Synthetic continual learning, under-parameterized | forgetting | Helped |
| increase dimensionality | linear regression · Synthetic continual learning, under-parameterized | forgetting | No clear effect |
| increase dimensionality while keeping data size fixed | linear regression · Synthetic continual learning, over-parameterized | forgetting | Hurt |
| increase dimensionality while keeping data size fixed | Deep Neural Networks · Synthetic continual learning, over-parameterized | forgetting | Hurt |
| increase dataset size as dimensionality increases | Deep Neural Networks · Synthetic continual learning, over-parameterized | forgetting | Helped |
Surprising findings
- In over-parameterized DNNs, higher dimensionality does not necessarily increase forgetting at fixed data size, unlike in linear regression.
- Setting the step size to zero does not minimize bias error because the projection term becomes the identity, so a trade-off in step size exists.
Limitations
- Analysis relies on fourth-moment assumptions and well-specified Gaussian noise
- Upper and lower bounds only match when the signal-to-noise ratio is bounded and the step size is small
- Experiments are on synthetic data with only three tasks and a small DNN
Experimental setup
Datasets: synthetic Gaussian-noise linear regression tasks with power-law eigenvalues
Benchmarks: synthetic linear regression tasks synthetic DNN tasks
Metrics: average excess risk (forgetting)
Baselines: minimum-norm interpolator forgetting analysis (Evron et al.) Gaussian-data forgetting analysis (Lin et al.)
Builds on: minimum-norm interpolator forgetting analysis SGD bias-variance analysis in linear regression covariate shift
Closest papers by meaning
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