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Understanding Forgetting in Continual Learning with Linear Regression

ICML 2024 · Continual learning › Online and replay-based · approach: Theoretical analysis of forgetting · 1 citations (OpenAlex)

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Gives a theoretical upper and matching lower bound on catastrophic forgetting for multi-task SGD in linear regression across under- and overparameterized regimes, and validates with linear and small-DNN simulations.

Problem

Theoretical understanding of catastrophic forgetting in continual learning is limited; prior analyses rely on Gaussian data, noiseless models, or minimum-norm interpolators that require zero training error and overparameterization.

Approach

Analyzes forgetting for multi-step SGD on sequential linear regression tasks under general fourth-moment conditions and well-specified noise, deriving bias-variance upper and lower bounds in terms of covariance spectra, step size, sample size, and task order; shows that training tasks with larger eigenvalues later increases forgetting when data size is large, and that smaller step sizes mitigate f

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
train tasks with larger covariance eigenvalues laterlinear regression · Synthetic continual learning, under-parameterizedaverage excess risk (forgetting)Hurt
train tasks with larger covariance eigenvalues laterDeep Neural Networks · Synthetic continual learningforgettingHurt
use a smaller step sizelinear regression · Synthetic continual learning, across task sequences and dimensionalitiesaverage excess risk (forgetting)Helped
use a smaller step sizeDeep Neural Networks · Synthetic continual learning, under-parameterizedforgettingHelped
increase dimensionalitylinear regression · Synthetic continual learning, under-parameterizedforgettingNo clear effect
increase dimensionality while keeping data size fixedlinear regression · Synthetic continual learning, over-parameterizedforgettingHurt
increase dimensionality while keeping data size fixedDeep Neural Networks · Synthetic continual learning, over-parameterizedforgettingHurt
increase dataset size as dimensionality increasesDeep Neural Networks · Synthetic continual learning, over-parameterizedforgettingHelped

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: synthetic Gaussian-noise linear regression tasks with power-law eigenvalues

Benchmarks: synthetic linear regression tasks synthetic DNN tasks

Metrics: average excess risk (forgetting)

Baselines: minimum-norm interpolator forgetting analysis (Evron et al.) Gaussian-data forgetting analysis (Lin et al.)

Builds on: minimum-norm interpolator forgetting analysis SGD bias-variance analysis in linear regression covariate shift

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