Research map / Probabilistic and scientific modeling / Uncertainty and Gaussian processes
Centroid Approximation for Bootstrap: Improving Particle Quality at Inference
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Measured effects reported in the paper
| What was changed | Where | Measured | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Replace i.i.d. bootstrap particles with jointly optimized centroids | Bootstrap confidence intervals · Linear-model CI, alpha=0.9, Normal/Percentile/Pivotal, m=20 and m=50 | coverage error: Normal m=20: 0.029±0.010 -> 0.027±0.010; Percentile m=20: 0.101±0.013 -> 0.081±0.012; Pivotal m=50: 0.045±0.011 -> 0.013 | Helped |
| Replace i.i.d. bootstrap particles with jointly optimized centroids | Contextual-bandit bootstrap · Mushroom, Statlog, Financial, m=3 and m=10 | cumulative reward: Mushroom m=3: 3282.1±72.8 -> 3702.7±89.8; Statlog m=10: 1877.0±2.7 -> 1892.6±2.8; Financial m=10: 2281.4±56.6 -> 2325.5± | Helped |
| Add the low-assignment common-gradient fallback (ablation) | Centroid contextual-bandit method · Mushroom, m=3, 4, 5, 10 | cumulative reward: m=3: 3480.0±120 -> 3702.7±89.8; m=4: 3461.9±126 -> 3723.1±78.7; m=5: 3586.5±64.5 -> 3799.6±84.2; m=10: 3785.0±59.1 -> 37 | Helped |
| Retain bootstrap uncertainty instead of always using the common-data gradient (ablation) | Centroid contextual-bandit method · Mushroom, m=3, 4, 5, 10 | cumulative reward: m=3: 3467.7±115 -> 3702.7±89.8; m=4: 3600.0±69.3 -> 3723.1±78.7; m=5: 3647.3±64.5 -> 3799.6±84.2; m=10: 3742.7±86.8 -> 3 | Helped |
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