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Research map / Probabilistic and scientific modeling / Uncertainty and Gaussian processes

What Are Bayesian Neural Network Posteriors Really Like?

ICML 2021 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Uncertainty and Gaussian processes · approach: Approximate inference in Bayesian neural networks · 99 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use full-batch HMC instead of standard trainingResNet-20-FRN · CIFAR-10accuracy: 83.44 -> 89.64Helped
Use HMC instead of deep ensemblesResNet-20-FRN · CIFAR-10accuracy: 88.49 -> 89.64Helped
Use HMC rather than Mahalanobis scoringResNet-20-FRN · CIFAR-100 OOD detectionAUC-ROC: 0.882 -> 0.857Hurt
Use HMC rather than deep ensemblesResNet-20-FRN · CIFAR-10-Caccuracy: 76.99 -> 70.91Hurt
Use a logistic rather than Gaussian priorCNN-LSTM HMC · IMDBLog likelihood: -0.311 -> -0.304Helped
Replace Gaussian prior with a mixture of GaussiansCNN-LSTM HMC · IMDBaccuracy: 0.866 -> 0.863No clear effect
Use SGHMC-CLR instead of HMCResNet-20-FRN · CIFAR-10agreement with HMC: 94.01 -> 92.67Hurt
Use deep ensembles instead of MFVIResNet-20-FRN · CIFAR-10total variation from HMC: 0.136 -> 0.115Helped
Add data augmentation while using a cold posterior (T=0.1) (ablation)ResNet-20 · CIFAR-10accuracy: 87.46 -> 91.12Helped
Use a cold posterior (T=0.1) without augmentation (ablation)ResNet-20-FRN · CIFAR-10accuracy: 84.27 -> 80.84Hurt
Increase the HMC step size (ablation)ResNet-20-FRN HMC · CIFAR-10BMA log-likelihood: -0.331 -> -0.3406 -> -0.3407 -> -0.895Hurt
Increase HMC trajectory length (ablation)ResNet-20-FRN HMC · CIFAR-10accuracy and log-likelihoodHelped

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