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Research map / Probabilistic and scientific modeling / Uncertainty and Gaussian processes

Uncertainty Estimation Using a Single Deep Deterministic Neural Network

ICML 2020 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Uncertainty and Gaussian processes · approach: Single-model predictive uncertainty · 275 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Add a two-sided gradient penalty to DUQ (ablation)DUQ · CIFAR-10 vs SVHNAUROC: 0.861 ± 0.032 -> 0.927 ± 0.013Helped
Add a two-sided gradient penalty to DUQ (ablation)DUQ · FashionMNIST vs MNISTAUROC: 0.948 ± .004 -> 0.955 ± .007Mixed
Increase gradient penalty weight from λ = 0 to λ = 0.5 (ablation)DUQ · CIFAR-10accuracy: 94.2% ± 0.2 -> 93.2% ± 0.4Hurt
Remove the gradient penalty (ablation)DUQ · Two Moonsout-of-distribution uncertainty qualityHurt
Replace the two-sided gradient penalty with a one-sided penalty (ablation)DUQ · Two Moonsout-of-distribution uncertainty qualityHurt
Use an invertible feature extractor instead of the gradient penalty (ablation)DUQ · Two Moonsuncertainty qualityHelped
Use an invertible feature extractor (ablation)DUQ · higher-dimensional datasetsaccuracy and uncertaintyHurt
Apply gradient penalty to the feature vector or individual kernel distances rather than the sum of kernels (ablation)DUQ · larger-scale datasetsuncertainty qualityHurt
Increase gradient penalty weight from λ = 0 to λ = 0.05 (ablation)DUQ · FashionMNISTaccuracy: 92.4% ± .2 -> 92.4% ± .2No clear effect
Increase gradient penalty weight from λ = 0 to λ = 0.05 (ablation)DUQ · FashionMNIST vs NotMNISTAUROC: 0.933 ± .009 -> 0.946 ± .018Helped

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