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Scalable Exact Inference in Multi-Output Gaussian Processes

ICML 2020 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Uncertainty and Gaussian processes · approach: PAC-Bayes and decoupled GP learning · 16 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use OILMM instead of IGPTemperature extrapolation · Temperature extrapolation, m=5PPLP: -1.923 -> -1.457Helped
Increase OILMM latent-process count from m=1 to m=247 (ablation)OILMM · Temperature extrapolationRMSE: 2.151 -> 1.991Helped
Increase OILMM latent-process count from m=1 to m=247 (ablation)OILMM · Temperature extrapolationPPLP: -1.976 -> -0.525Helped
Use OILMM with m=200 instead of IGPTemperature extrapolation · Temperature extrapolationRMSE: 1.993 -> 1.992No clear effect
Use OILMM instead of unrestricted ILMMExchange rates · Exchange ratesSMSE: 0.19 -> 0.19No clear effect
Use OILMM instead of unrestricted ILMMExchange rates · Exchange ratesPPLP: 3.39 -> 3.39No clear effect
Use OILMM instead of unrestricted ILMMEEG · EEGSMSE: 0.49 -> 0.49No clear effect
Use OILMM instead of unrestricted ILMMEEG · EEGPPLP: -2.11 -> -2.11No clear effect
Apply OILMM to exact inference and learning instead of ILMMMulti-output GP inference · Computational scaling in latent-process count mruntime complexity: O(n^3 m^3) -> O(n^3 m)Helped
Apply OILMM to exact inference and learning instead of ILMMMulti-output GP inference · Computational scaling in latent-process count mmemory complexity: O(n^2 m^2) -> O(n^2 m)Helped
Add variational inducing-point scaling to OILMMOILMM · Large-scale climate model calibrationruntime complexity: O(n^3 m) -> O(n m r^2)Helped

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