Research map / Probabilistic and scientific modeling / Uncertainty and Gaussian processes
Discriminative Jackknife: Quantifying Uncertainty in Deep Learning via Higher-Order Influence Functions
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Measured effects reported in the paper
| What was changed | Where | Measured | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Use DJ rather than MCDP | Regression uncertainty estimates · Yacht | AUPRC: 0.67 ± 0.06 -> 0.87 ± 0.05 | Helped |
| Use DJ rather than MCDP | Regression uncertainty estimates · Housing | AUPRC: 0.86 ± 0.00 -> 0.80 ± 0.04 | Hurt |
| Use DJ rather than MCDP | Regression uncertainty estimates · Energy | AUPRC: 0.84 ± 0.03 -> 0.77 ± 0.08 | Hurt |
| Use DJ rather than BNN | Regression uncertainty estimates · Kin8nm | AUPRC: 0.89 ± 0.00 -> 0.88 ± 0.01 | Hurt |
| Use DJ rather than MCDP | Regression uncertainty estimates · Yacht | MSE: 150.93 -> 26.55 | Helped |
| Use DJ rather than MCDP | Regression uncertainty estimates · Housing | MSE: 113.04 -> 33.87 | Helped |
| Use DJ rather than MCDP | Regression uncertainty estimates · Energy | MSE: 92.57 -> 11.06 | Helped |
| Use DJ rather than BNN | Regression uncertainty estimates · Kin8nm | MSE: 0.68 -> 0.00 | Helped |
| Use DJ rather than PBP | Regression uncertainty estimates · Housing | coverage: 5.0% -> 99.8% | Helped |
| Use second-order influence terms instead of first-order terms only (ablation) | DJ confidence intervals · Normal-feature synthetic regression | discrimination | Helped |
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- Uncertainty Quantification for Deep Regression using Contextualised Normalizing Flows (NeurIPS 2025 · similarity 0.89)
- Uncertainty Quantification with the Empirical Neural Tangent Kernel (NeurIPS 2025 · similarity 0.88)
- SURE: SUrvey REcipes for building reliable and robust deep networks (CVPR 2024 · similarity 0.87)
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