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Assessing Uncertainty in Similarity Scoring: Performance & Fairness in Face Recognition
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Shows that naive bootstrap underestimates similarity ROC curves in face recognition because FAR/FRR are U-statistics, and proposes a recentered bootstrap to build valid confidence bands for ROC and fairness metrics.
Problem
Uncertainty quantification for empirical similarity ROC curves and FR fairness metrics is poorly handled; FAR/FRR in similarity scoring are U-statistics, so the naive bootstrap gives biased, invalid confidence bands.
Approach
A recentered bootstrap for pairwise similarity ROC curves: recenter bootstrap replicates around the V-statistic version of the ROC (which removes the diagonal-term bias), yielding asymptotically valid confidence bands, plus a normalized scalar uncertainty measure for ROC and fairness metrics.
Key results
- On synthetic vMF embeddings, the recentered bootstrap achieves near-nominal coverage at FAR=1e-5 (e.g., 0.96 at nominal 0.95) and at FAR=1e-1 (0.92 at nominal 0.95), while the naive bootstrap reaches only 0.55 at nominal 0.95.
- The max-geomean fairness metric shows the lowest normalized uncertainty among the compared FR fairness metrics, in both FAR and FRR, on MORPH and RFW experiments.
Measured effects reported in the paper
| What was changed | Where | Measured | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Recenter bootstrap replicates around the V-statistic ROC estimate rather than using the naive bootstrap centering (ablation) | Similarity ROC confidence intervals · Synthetic ROC, FAR = 10^-1 | estimated coverage: 0.55 -> 0.92 (nominal 0.95); 0.34 -> 0.74 (nominal 0.70); 0.23 -> 0.44 (nominal 0.45) | Helped |
| Replace percentile intervals from the recentered bootstrap with Gaussian-approximation intervals (ablation) | Recentered bootstrap confidence intervals · Synthetic ROC, FAR = 10^-1 | estimated coverage: 0.92 vs 0.92 (nominal 0.95); 0.77 vs 0.74 (nominal 0.70); 0.59 vs 0.44 (nominal 0.45) | Mixed |
| Use the max-geomean fairness metric instead of the other considered fairness metrics | Face recognition fairness evaluation · MORPH and RFW | normalized uncertainty | Helped |
Surprising findings
- The naive bootstrap confidence bands for the ROC often do not even contain the empirical ROC curve, and have estimated coverage near zero at FAR=1e-5.
- Two ArcFace/CosFace models that look different on one MORPH split are statistically indistinguishable once uncertainty is considered, so empirical ROC rankings can flip across datasets.
Limitations
- Naive bootstrap is invalid for pairwise similarity statistics; the recentering is needed and theory relies on asymptotic assumptions.
- Coverage validation is mainly on synthetic vMF embeddings rather than real face data.
- Experiments use pretrained open-source FR models and only gender, age, and race as sensitive attributes.
Experimental setup
Datasets: MS-Celeb-1M-v1c-r MORPH RFW MS1M-RetinaFace
Benchmarks: MORPH RFW
Metrics: empirical ROC confidence band coverage normalized uncertainty max-min ratio max-geomean ratio log-geomean sum Gini coefficient
Baselines: naive bootstrap gaussian approximation of recentered bootstrap
Builds on: naive bootstrap (Bickel-Freedman style) NIST FRVT fairness metrics generalized U-statistics
Closest papers by meaning
- Standardized Interpretable Fairness Measures for Continuous Risk Scores (ICML 2024 · similarity 0.83)
- A Sequentially Fair Mechanism for Multiple Sensitive Attributes (AAAI 2024 · similarity 0.82)
- FROC: Building Fair ROC from a Trained Classifier (AAAI 2025 · similarity 0.82)
- Kernel-based Equalized Odds: A Quantification of Accuracy-Fairness Trade-off in Fair Representation Learning (NeurIPS 2025 · similarity 0.82)
- The VOROS: Lifting ROC Curves to 3D to Summarize Unbalanced Classifier Performance (AAAI 2025 · similarity 0.82)
- FAIR-FER: A Latent Alignment Approach for Mitigating Bias in Facial Expression Recognition (Student Abstract) (AAAI 2024 · similarity 0.81)
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