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TimesNet: Temporal 2D-Variation Modeling for General Time Series Analysis

ICLR 2023 · Time series › Long-term forecasting · approach: Lightweight long-term forecasters · 439 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Model temporal variation with TimesNet's multi-period 2D representationTime series forecasting · Long-term forecasting benchmarksMSEMixed
Use TimesNet for short-term forecastingM4 · M4SMAPE: 11.851 -> 11.829Helped
Use TimesNet for imputationTime series imputation · ETTm1, ETTm2, ETTh1, ETTh2, Electricity, WeatherMSEHelped
Use TimesNet for classificationUEA classification · UEAAccuracy: 72.5% -> 73.6%Helped
Use TimesNet with ResNeXt as the 2D backboneTimesNet · Anomaly detection (SMD, MSL, SMAP, SWaT, PSM)Avg F1: 80.50 -> 86.34Helped
Replace ResNeXt with ResNet (ablation)TimesNet · Anomaly detection (SMD, MSL, SMAP, SWaT, PSM)Avg F1: 86.34 -> 84.81Hurt
Replace ResNeXt with Swin Transformer (ablation)TimesNet · Anomaly detection (SMD, MSL, SMAP, SWaT, PSM)Avg F1: 86.34 -> 86.11Hurt
Replace ResNeXt with ConvNeXt (ablation)TimesNet · Anomaly detection (SMD, MSL, SMAP, SWaT, PSM)Avg F1: 86.34 -> 86.89Helped
Use independent rather than shared Inception parameters for each period tensor (ablation)TimesNet · Anomaly detection (SMD, MSL, SMAP, SWaT, PSM)Avg F1: 85.49 -> 85.60Helped
Add Autoformer deep decomposition (ablation)TimesNet · Anomaly detection (SMD, MSL, SMAP, SWaT, PSM)Avg F1: 85.49 -> 85.29Hurt
Transform raw input instead of deep features in each TimesBlock (ablation)TimesNet · Anomaly detection (SMD, MSL, SMAP, SWaT, PSM)Avg F1: 85.49% -> 84.85%Hurt
Sum period representations directly rather than using amplitude-based weights (ablation)TimesNet · Anomaly detection (SMD, MSL, SMAP, SWaT, PSM)Avg F1: 85.49 -> 84.57Hurt

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