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Unsupervised Model Selection for Time Series Anomaly Detection

ICLR 2023 · Time series › Anomaly detection · approach: Time series anomaly detection evaluation · 9 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Combine selected surrogate rankings with robust Borda, filtering rankings by empirical influenceUnsupervised time-series anomaly detector selection · 10 datasetssignificant losses to Oracle: 6 vs 8–9 for the listed individual surrogate metrics and BordaHelped
Use Robust Borda instead of Borda (ablation)Surrogate-ranking aggregation · 10 datasetssignificant wins over Random: 4 vs 3Helped
Use Robust Borda instead of Borda (ablation)Surrogate-ranking aggregation · 10 datasetssignificant losses to Oracle: 6 vs 9Helped
Use the single minimum-influence metric instead of aggregating all rankings (ablation)Surrogate-ranking selection · 10 datasetssignificant wins over Random: 7 vs 4Helped
Use synthetic anomaly injection metrics rather than prediction-error or centrality metricsUnsupervised model selection · 10 datasetsadjusted best F1 of the selected modelHelped
Use model centrality rankingsUnsupervised model selection · 10 datasetsadjusted best F1 of the selected modelHurt
Select by prediction error (MSE)Unsupervised model selection · NASA, RESP, SMD; ECG, ABP, Accelerationadjusted best F1 of the selected modelMixed
Discard high empirical-influence rankings before Borda aggregation (ablation)Robust Borda · 10 datasetssignificant losses to Oracle: 6 vs 9Helped
Add the top-k restriction to Borda rankings (ablation)Borda aggregation · 10 datasetsadjusted best F1 of the selected modelNo clear effect
Increase noise in the input permutationsBorda rank aggregation on synthetic rankings · Synthetic data experimentsdistance of median permutation from central permutationHurt
Inject synthetic noise anomalies for model selectionAir Temperature · Air Temperatureadjusted best F1 of the selected modelHelped
Inject speedup or cutoff anomalies for model selectionRESP · RESPadjusted best F1 of the selected modelHelped

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