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Learning Temporally Causal Latent Processes from General Temporal Data

ICLR 2022 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Causal discovery · approach: Latent-variable causal estimation · 6 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
add causal process prior (ablation)β-VAE on NP (Dense) · NP (Dense)MCC: 0.446 ± 0.004 -> 0.721 ± 0.121Helped
add nonstationary flow (ablation)LEAP + Causal Process Prior · NP (Dense)MCC: 0.721 ± 0.121 -> 0.939 ± 0.008Helped
add noise discriminator (ablation)LEAP + Nonstationary Flow · NP (Dense)MCC: 0.939 ± 0.008 -> 0.983 ± 0.002Helped
add causal process prior (ablation)β-VAE on VAR · VARMCC: 0.495 ± 0.007 -> 0.752 ± 0.035Helped
add nonstationary flow (ablation)LEAP + Causal Process Prior · VARMCC: 0.752 ± 0.035 -> 0.935 ± 0.014Helped
add noise discriminator (ablation)LEAP + Nonstationary Flow · VARMCC: 0.935 ± 0.014 -> 0.978 ± 0.004Helped
use history and nonstationarity information rather than ignoring bothLEAP · synthetic NP and VAR datasetsMCCHelped
assume independent sources despite time-delayed causal relationsSlowVAE and PCL · synthetic NP and VAR datasetsMCCHurt
use linear causal transitions on nonlinear NP processesLEAP-VAR · synthetic NP datasetsMCCHelped
violate conditional independence with instantaneous causal relationsLEAP · synthetic VAR datasetsMCCHurt
use Gaussian noise rather than the required non-Gaussian noiseLEAP · synthetic VAR datasetsMCCHurt
reduce the number of regimes below the sufficient-variability requirementLEAP · synthetic NP datasetsMCCNo clear effect

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