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Autoregressive Dynamics Models for Offline Policy Evaluation and Optimization

ICLR 2021 · Reinforcement learning › Offline RL · approach: Decision Transformer sequence models · 8 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Model next-state dimensions sequentially conditioned on previous dimensions instead of assuming conditional independenceDynamics models for DM Control tasks · RL Unplugged, 9 DM Control tasks, heldout validationnegative log-likelihoodHelped
Use autoregressive rather than feedforward dynamics for policy evaluationModel-based OPE · RL Unplugged, 9 tasksmedian Spearman rank correlation: 0.64 -> 0.90Helped
Use autoregressive rather than feedforward dynamics for policy evaluationModel-based OPE · RL Unplugged, 9 tasksmedian normalized Regret@5: 0.24 -> 0.04Helped
Use autoregressive rather than feedforward dynamics for policy evaluationModel-based OPE · RL Unplugged, 9 tasksmedian average absolute error: 30.12 -> 9.71Helped
Use autoregressive dynamics instead of feedforward dynamics for planningCRR policy optimization · Offline policy optimization environments testedpolicy performanceHelped
Add model-based planning (ablation)CRR AR with autoregressive-model augmented data · Offline policy optimization environments testedpolicy performanceHelped
Add autoregressive-model data augmentation (ablation)CRR exp · Cheetah runpolicy performanceHelped
Add autoregressive-model data augmentation (ablation)CRR exp · Cartpole swingup, Fish swim, Finger turn hardpolicy performanceNo clear effect
Combine data augmentation with planning (ablation)CRR with autoregressive dynamics · Cheetah run, Fish swimpolicy returnHelped

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