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Uncertainty Sets for Image Classifiers using Conformal Prediction

ICLR 2021 · Learning theory and algorithms › Prediction and decision losses · approach: Probabilistic calibration · 31 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Add rank-based regularization to APS scoresAPS prediction sets · ImageNet-Val, ResNet152size: 10.4 -> 2.11Helped
Add rank-based regularization to APS scoresAPS prediction sets · ImageNet-V2, ResNet152size: 27.2 -> 5.69Helped
Use conformal calibration instead of uncalibrated cumulative probability thresholdingNaive prediction sets · ImageNet-Val, ResNet152coverage: 0.895 -> 0.900Helped
Increase λ from 0 to 0.001 (ablation)RAPS with ResNet152 · ImageNet-Valsize-stratified coverage violation: 0.070 -> 0.041Helped
Increase λ from 0 to 0.001 (ablation)RAPS with ResNet152 · ImageNet-Val, set-size stratacoverage: 0.97 -> 0.90Helped
Increase λ from 0 to 1 (ablation)RAPS with ResNet152 · ImageNet-Val, images with true-label rank 7 to 10coverage: 0.63 -> 0.00Hurt
Increase λ from 0 to 1 (ablation)RAPS with ResNet152 · ImageNet-Val, images with true-label rank 1coverage: 0.95 -> 0.98Helped
Use λ=0.2 instead of λ=0 (ablation)RAPS with ResNet152 and k_reg=1 · ImageNet-Val, 90% target coveragesize: 11.2 -> 2.1Helped
Use LAC instead of RAPSResNet152 prediction sets · ImageNet-Valsize: 2.09 -> 1.76Helped
Use LAC instead of RAPSResNet152 prediction sets · ImageNet-Val, size-stratified coverage violation at α=10%size-stratified coverage violation: 0.039 -> 0.156Hurt

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