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Research map / Probabilistic and scientific modeling / Uncertainty and Gaussian processes

Bias-Reduced Uncertainty Estimation for Deep Neural Classifiers

ICLR 2019 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Uncertainty and Gaussian processes · approach: Single-model predictive uncertainty · 33 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Average scores from 30 evenly spaced snapshots beginning at 0.4TSoftmax Response · CIFAR-10E-AURC: 4.78 -> 4.49Helped
Average scores from 30 evenly spaced snapshots beginning at 0.4TSoftmax Response · CIFAR-100E-AURC: 50.97 -> 39.90Helped
Average scores from 30 evenly spaced snapshots beginning at 0.4TSoftmax Response · SVHNE-AURC: 4.24 -> 3.77Helped
Average scores from 50 evenly spaced snapshots beginning at 0.4TSoftmax Response · ImageNetE-AURC: 99.68 -> 94.77Helped
Average scores from 30 evenly spaced snapshots beginning at 0.4TNN-distance · CIFAR-10E-AURC: 35.10 -> 4.70Helped
Average scores from 30 evenly spaced snapshots beginning at 0.4TMC-dropout · CIFAR-10E-AURC: 5.03 -> 4.99No clear effect
Average scores from 30 evenly spaced snapshots beginning at 0.4TEnsemble · CIFAR-100E-AURC: 34.73 -> 30.72Helped
Average scores from 10 evenly spaced snapshots rather than 30 (ablation)Ensemble · SVHNE-AURC: 3.69 -> 3.51Helped
Use 10 snapshots instead of 30 (ablation)AES on Softmax Response · CIFAR-10E-AURC: 4.78 -> 4.81Hurt
Use 50 snapshots instead of 30 (ablation)AES on Softmax Response · CIFAR-100E-AURC: 50.97 -> 39.68Helped
Select a snapshot per confidence layer using labeled data (PES)Softmax Response · CIFAR-10E-AURC: 4.6342 ± 0.07 -> 4.3543 ± 0.06Helped
Select a snapshot per confidence layer using labeled data (PES)Softmax Response · CIFAR-100E-AURC: 51.3172 ± 0.43 -> 41.9579 ± 0.39Helped

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