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Training-Free Uncertainty Estimation for Dense Regression: Sensitivity as a Surrogate

AAAI 2022 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Uncertainty and Gaussian processes · approach: Single-model predictive uncertainty · 24 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use infer-transformation instead of MC-dropout² for uncertainty estimationSRGAN · Set14mean AUSE: 0.007 -> 0.006Helped
Use infer-transformation instead of MC-dropout¹ for uncertainty estimationSRGAN · Set14mean correlation: 0.943 -> 0.931Hurt
Use infer-transformation instead of LLM for uncertainty estimationSRGAN · Set14NLL: 1.320 -> 9.332Hurt
Use infer-noise instead of MC-dropout¹ for uncertainty estimationFCRN · NYU Depth Dataset V2mean correlation: 0.473 -> 0.708Helped
Use infer-noise instead of MC-dropout¹ for uncertainty estimationFCRN · NYU Depth Dataset V2NLL: 12.365 -> 1.006Helped
Use entropy instead of MC-dropout to estimate uncertaintyDensenet · CamVidmean correlation: 0.718 -> 0.928Helped
Use entropy instead of MC-dropout to estimate uncertaintyUNET · SNEMI3Dmean correlation: 0.881 -> 0.964Helped
Use entropy instead of MC-dropout to estimate uncertaintyResnet · CIFAR100mean correlation: 0.537 -> 0.669Helped
Select training examples using high uncertainty rather than randomlyActive learning for SR · Active learning (SR)SSIM: 0.773 -> 0.790Helped
Select training examples using high uncertainty rather than randomlyActive learning for SR · Active learning (SR)PSNR: 23.616 -> 23.942Helped
Select training examples using high uncertainty rather than randomlyActive learning for SR · Active learning (SR)L1: 12.344 -> 11.497Helped
Keep perturbations tolerable, with less than 20% relative performance drop (ablation)Training-free uncertainty methods · Super resolution and depth estimationcorrelation between uncertainty and errorHelped

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