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The Perils of Learning Before Optimizing

AAAI 2022 · Learning theory and algorithms › Prediction and decision losses · approach: Losses for decision-making · 13 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use end-to-end learning instead of two-stage learningDemand-weighted facility location · Synthetic benchmark; positive correlation between demand and travel timetest performanceHelped
Use end-to-end learning instead of two-stage learningDemand-weighted facility location · Synthetic benchmark; ρ=0test performanceNo clear effect
Use end-to-end learning instead of two-stage learningDemand-weighted facility location · Synthetic benchmark; negative correlationtest performanceNo clear effect
Use end-to-end learning instead of two-stage learningDemand-weighted facility location · Synthetic benchmark; all tested ρ valuestest performanceNo clear effect
Model each target's expectation separately rather than the expected productDemand-weighted facility location · Synthetic benchmark; positive correlationtest performanceHurt
Model each target's expectation separately rather than the expected productDemand-weighted facility location · Synthetic benchmark; negative correlationtest performanceNo clear effect
Use two-stage prediction with product coefficients instead of end-to-end learningOptimization with nonlinear target parameterization · Constructed problem with γ(a,b)=a·bstochastic objective loss: C + \sum_{i=1}^{d} (\frac{N}{2}-\epsilon)^2 1.0 \approx \frac{d N^{2}}{8}Hurt
Use a two-stage method with nonlinear γ rather than an end-to-end methodOptimization with multiple prediction targets · Constructed problem for any nonlinear γstochastic objective lossHurt
Use two-stage prediction when γ is linearOptimization with multiple prediction targets · Linear target parameterizationstochastic objective lossNo clear effect
Use two-stage prediction for product coefficients when targets are conditionally independentOptimization with multiple prediction targets · γ(y1,y2)=y1·y2 and (Y1 ⟂ Y2)|Xstochastic objective lossNo clear effect
Use end-to-end prediction instead of the two-stage proxyTwo-stage minimum cost flow · Stochastic optimizationtwo-stage to end-to-end loss ratio: \Omega\left(2^{d}\right)Helped
Use end-to-end prediction instead of the two-stage proxyTwo-stage stochastic set cover · Stochastic optimizationtwo-stage to end-to-end loss ratio: \Omega\left(\sqrt{d} \frac{\log (\log (d))}{\log(d)}\right)Helped

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