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Learning and Policy Search in Stochastic Dynamical Systems with Bayesian Neural Networks

ICLR 2017 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Dynamical systems · approach: Stable contractive dynamics · 52 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Train the dynamics BNN with α=0.5 rather than VBBNN policy search · WetChickenaverage reward: -2.67 -> -2.37Helped
Train the dynamics BNN with α=0.5 rather than VBBNN policy search · Turbineaverage reward: -0.45 -> -0.41Helped
Train the dynamics BNN with α=0.5 rather than α=1.0BNN policy search · Industrialaverage reward: -171.1 -> -174.2Hurt
Use α=0.5 rather than VBBayesian neural network dynamics model · WetChickenlog-likelihood: -1.140 -> -1.057Helped
Use α=0.5 rather than VBBayesian neural network dynamics model · Turbinelog-likelihood: -0.775 -> -0.746Helped
Use α=0.5 rather than α=1.0Bayesian neural network dynamics model · Industriallog-likelihood: 1.326 -> 1.328No clear effect
Keep q(z) fixed to the prior instead of learning q(z) (ablation)BNN trained with α=0.5 · Bi-modal prediction problemlog-likelihood: -3.05 -> -2.10Helped
Keep q(z) fixed to the prior instead of learning q(z) (ablation)BNN trained with α=0.5 · Heteroskedastic prediction problemlog-likelihood: -2.05 -> -1.78Helped
Use α=0.5 rather than VB while q(z) is fixed to the prior (ablation)Bayesian neural network · Bi-modal prediction problemlog-likelihood: -3.05 -> -2.10Helped
Use α=0.5 rather than VB while q(z) is fixed to the prior (ablation)Bayesian neural network · Heteroskedastic prediction problemlog-likelihood: -2.05 -> -1.78Helped

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