Research map / 3D vision / Human pose estimation
MotionMap: Representing Multimodality in Human Pose Forecasting
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Proposes MotionMap, a heatmap-plus-codebook representation of multimodal future human poses that predicts a variable number of modes with confidences, enabling sample-efficient pose forecasting on Human3.6M and AMASS.
Problem
Human pose forecasting is multimodal, but existing stochastic methods need oversampling many predictions to cover modes, and the task is ill-posed as stated; it is unclear which predicted futures are more likely for a given observation.
Approach
Reframe forecasting as recalling transitions present in training data, and represent the distribution of multimodal futures as a 2D heatmap (via t-SNE of future latents) whose local maxima give a variable number of likely modes with confidences; a codebook maps heatmap coordinates back to latents for decoding.
Key results
- On Human3.6M, MotionMap reaches MMADE 0.466 and MMFDE 0.532 vs. BeLFusion's 0.491 and 0.586 under a 7-forecast budget.
- On AMASS, MotionMap achieves ADE 0.325 and MMFDE 0.514, outperforming CoMusion (0.311 ADE is better for CoMusion; MMFDE 0.602) and BeLFusion (MMFDE 0.564).
- MotionMap attains diversity of 7.84 on Human3.6M and 8.50 on AMASS while being sample-efficient.
Measured effects reported in the paper
| What was changed | Where | Measured | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Use MotionMap instead of the strongest baseline | Human pose forecasting · Human3.6M | MMADE: 0.491 -> 0.466 | Helped |
| Use MotionMap instead of the strongest baseline | Human pose forecasting · Human3.6M | MMFDE: 0.586 -> 0.532 | Helped |
| Use MotionMap instead of the strongest baseline | Human pose forecasting · Human3.6M | ADE: 0.426 -> 0.474 | Hurt |
| Use MotionMap instead of the strongest baseline | Human pose forecasting · Human3.6M | FDE: 0.597 -> 0.598 | Hurt |
| Use MotionMap instead of the strongest baseline | Human pose forecasting · AMASS | MMADE: 0.488 -> 0.450 | Helped |
| Use MotionMap instead of the strongest baseline | Human pose forecasting · AMASS | MMFDE: 0.564 -> 0.514 | Helped |
| Use MotionMap instead of the strongest baseline | Human pose forecasting · AMASS | ADE: 0.311 -> 0.325 | Hurt |
| Use MotionMap instead of the strongest baseline | Human pose forecasting · AMASS | FDE: 0.460 -> 0.450 | Helped |
Surprising findings
- Several diversity-focused baselines (DLow, DivSamp) are more diverse than the ground truth yet predict less likely futures, so diversity does not imply realism.
Limitations
- Lacks fine-grained motion variation within a mode; MotionMap encodes one forecast per mode, so time-shifted ground truths are clumped.
- Clumping similar motions is a design choice that can raise error on test splits with many time-shifted ground truths.
- Evaluation of multimodal ground truth depends on thresholds (0.5 for Human3.6M, 0.4 for AMASS) and the test split is small, making evaluation unreliable.
Experimental setup
Datasets: Human3.6M AMASS
Benchmarks: Human3.6M AMASS
Metrics: ADE FDE MMADE MMFDE Diversity
Baselines: Zero-Velocity TPK DLow GSPS DivSamp STARS TCD BeLFusion CoMusion
Builds on: BeLFusion DLow t-SNE CoMusion
Closest papers by meaning
- Multimodal Sense-Informed Forecasting of 3D Human Motions (CVPR 2024 · similarity 0.88)
- Expressive Forecasting of 3D Whole-Body Human Motions (AAAI 2024 · similarity 0.88)
- Multi-agent Long-term 3D Human Pose Forecasting via Interaction-aware Trajectory Conditioning (CVPR 2024 · similarity 0.88)
- SimpliHuMoN: Simplifying Human Motion Prediction (NeurIPS 2026 · similarity 0.88)
- Pose Priors from Language Models (CVPR 2025 · similarity 0.87)
- FutureHuman3D: Forecasting Complex Long-Term 3D Human Behavior from Video Observations (CVPR 2024 · similarity 0.87)
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