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Density-Adaptive Model Based on Motif Matrix for Multi-Agent Trajectory Prediction

CVPR 2024 · Multi-agent systems and games › Human-AI and goal-conditioned · approach: Interactive multi-agent trajectory prediction · 10 citations (OpenAlex)

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Proposes DAMM, a density-adaptive trajectory predictor that uses a spatial-temporal motif matrix plus adaptive neighbor-range selection and interaction-probability weighting inside a CVAE-GAT framework, reporting gains on nuScenes and Argoverse.

Problem

Multi-agent trajectory prediction for autonomous driving ignores heterogeneous traffic density, which changes the number of interacting agents and their interaction probabilities over time.

Approach

Uses a higher-order motif matrix to encode agent interactions, adaptively selects multi-scale neighbor ranges in a spatial block (ASI), and estimates time-varying interaction probabilities with a pyramidal pooling temporal block (ATI); these form node and edge features for a GAT inside a CVAE.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use DAMM instead of the strongest listed baseline, Context-AwarenuScenes trajectory prediction · nuScenesADE1: 3.54 -> 2.84Helped
Use DAMM instead of MUSE-VAEnuScenes trajectory prediction · nuScenesFDE10: 2.10 -> 2.05Helped
Use DAMM instead of R-PredArgoverse trajectory prediction · ArgoverseADE1: 1.58 -> 1.57Helped
Use DAMM instead of ADAPTArgoverse trajectory prediction · ArgoverseFDE6: 1.17 -> 1.29Hurt
Add the motif matrix, ASI, and ATI instead of using the adjacency-matrix interaction baseline (ablation)DAMM on nuScenes · nuScenesADE1: 3.05 -> 2.84Helped
Add ASI, with motif matrix and ATI retained (ablation)DAMM on nuScenes · nuScenesADE1: 2.97 -> 2.84Helped
Add ATI, with motif matrix and ASI retained (ablation)DAMM on nuScenes · nuScenesADE1: 2.98 -> 2.84Helped
Use multi-scale neighbor selection instead of a single 50m radius (ablation)DAMM on nuScenes · nuScenesADE1: 3.12 -> 2.84Helped
Add LSEL and LKLD to LDIS (ablation)DAMM on nuScenes · nuScenesADE1: 2.99 -> 2.84Helped
Add LKLD to LDIS and LSEL (ablation)DAMM on nuScenes · nuScenesADE1: 2.52 -> 2.84Hurt
Add LSEL to LDIS and LKLD (ablation)DAMM on nuScenes · nuScenesADE1: 3.42 -> 2.84Helped

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: nuScenes Argoverse

Benchmarks: nuScenes Argoverse

Metrics: ADE FDE

Baselines: AgentFormer AutoBot MP++ THOMAS HiVT Aware GOHOME Context-Aware R-Pred ADAPT

Builds on: Graph Attention Network network motifs Spatial Pyramid Pooling CVAE

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