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DDG-DA: Data Distribution Generation for Predictable Concept Drift Adaptation

AAAI 2022 · Label-efficient and robust learning › Test-time adaptation · approach: Characterizing out-of-distribution failures · 52 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Predict future distribution and resample historical training data accordinglyLightGBM forecasting with DDG-DA · Stock Price Trend ForecastingIC: 0.1178 -> 0.1312Helped
Predict future distribution and resample historical training data accordinglyLightGBM forecasting with DDG-DA · Electricity LoadNMAE: 0.1877 -> 0.1622Helped
Predict future distribution and resample historical training data accordinglyLightGBM forecasting with DDG-DA · Solar IrradianceMAE: 21.7704 -> 18.7997Helped
Use DDG-DA rather than exponential gradual forgettingLightGBM forecasting · Stock Price Trend ForecastingIC: 0.1234 -> 0.1312Helped
Use DDG-DA rather than exponential gradual forgettingLightGBM forecasting · Electricity LoadNMAE: 0.1839 -> 0.1622Helped
Use DDG-DA rather than exponential gradual forgettingLightGBM forecasting · Solar IrradianceMAE: 21.6841 -> 18.7997Helped
Apply DDG-DA resamplingLinear forecasting model · Stock Price Trend ForecastingIC: 0.0863 -> 0.0971Helped
Apply DDG-DA resamplingMLP forecasting model · Stock Price Trend ForecastingIC: 0.1091 -> 0.1211Helped
Apply DDG-DA resamplingLSTM forecasting model · Stock Price Trend ForecastingIC: 0.1008 -> 0.1049Helped
Apply DDG-DA resamplingGRU forecasting model · Stock Price Trend ForecastingIC: 0.1182 -> 0.1183No clear effect
Use GHO optimization and an MLP proxy model instead of DDG-DA's closed-form linear proxy (ablation)DDG-DA · Stock Price Trend ForecastingIC: 0.1211 -> 0.1204Hurt
Use DDG-DA for random abrupt, unpredictable concept driftDDG-DA · Four generated regression datasetsforecast-label correlationHurt

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