Research map / Graph learning / Knowledge and temporal graphs
Transfer Graph Neural Networks for Pandemic Forecasting
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Measured effects reported in the paper
| What was changed | Where | Measured | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Transfer MPNN parameters across countries using MAML | MPNN · England, France, Italy, and Spain; up to next 3, 7, and 14 days | average error (cases per region): England: 6.36 -> 6.05; France: 6.16 -> 5.83; Italy: 14.39 -> 14.08; Spain: 35.83 -> 29.61 (up to next 3 days) | Helped |
| Use an LSTM over successive graph representations instead of the MPNN-only model (ablation) | MPNN · England, France, Italy, and Spain; forecasting up to 3, 7, and 14 days | average error (cases per region): England, up to next 3 days: 6.36 -> 6.41; Spain, up to next 3 days: 35.83 -> 33.35 | Mixed |
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