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CoverNet: Multimodal Behavior Prediction Using Trajectory Sets

CVPR 2020 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Molecules and proteins · approach: Multimodal trajectory prediction · 443 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Classify over a hybrid fixed-and-dynamic trajectory set instead of using regression baselinesCoverNet · nuScenesHitRate: 0.13 -> 0.33Helped
Classify over a hybrid fixed-and-dynamic trajectory set instead of using MultiPath 64CoverNet · nuScenesADE15: 1.86 -> 1.28Helped
Use the hybrid trajectory set rather than the strongest listed baselineCoverNet · nuScenesFDE: 9.09 -> 9.26Hurt
Use CoverNet fixed ε=2 rather than MultiPath 64CoverNet · Internal datasetHitRate: 0.27 -> 0.57Helped
Use CoverNet fixed ε=2 rather than MTP 1CoverNet · Internal datasetADE1: 1.88 -> 2.16Hurt
Use average rather than max point-wise distance for ground-truth matching (ablation)CoverNet fixed trajectory set, 150 modes · Internal dataset, 3 sec horizonADE1: 1.0 -> 0.96Helped
Use average rather than max point-wise distance for ground-truth matching (ablation)CoverNet fixed trajectory set, 150 modes · Internal dataset, 3 sec horizonADE5: 0.67 -> 0.66Helped
Use average rather than RMS point-wise distance for ground-truth matching (ablation)CoverNet fixed trajectory set, 150 modes · Internal dataset, 3 sec horizonADE15: 0.63 -> 0.64Hurt
Add dynamic trajectories to a fixed trajectory set (ablation)CoverNet trajectory-set generation · Trajectory-set coveragenumber of trajectories needed for coverageHelped
Increase fixed trajectory-set coverage by using ε=2 instead of ε=3 (ablation)CoverNet fixed · nuScenesHitRate: 0.23 -> 0.24Helped
Increase fixed trajectory-set coverage by using ε=2 instead of ε=3 (ablation)CoverNet fixed · nuScenesADE15: 1.51 -> 1.63Hurt
Increase fixed trajectory-set coverage by using ε=2 instead of ε=3 (ablation)CoverNet fixed · Internal datasetHitRate: 0.33 -> 0.57Helped

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