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DESIRE: Distant Future Prediction in Dynamic Scenes With Interacting Agents

CVPR 2017 · Multi-agent systems and games › Human-AI and goal-conditioned · approach: Interactive multi-agent trajectory prediction · 1,086 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
add IOC ranking, regression, and iterative refinement (ablation)DESIRE-SI on KITTI · KITTI, 4.0 secL2 error (m): 2.72 -> 2.06Helped
add IOC ranking, regression, and iterative refinement (ablation)DESIRE-SI on SDD · SDD, 4.0 secpixel error: 7.61 -> 5.33Helped
add agent interaction features (ablation)DESIRE-S-IT4 · KITTI, 4.0 secL2 error (m): 2.07 -> 2.06Hurt
add agent interaction features (ablation)DESIRE-S-IT4 · SDD, 4.0 secpixel error: 5.62 -> 5.33Helped
use multiple ranked predictions rather than one best prediction (ablation)DESIRE-SI-IT4 · SDD, 4.0 secpixel error: 10.65 -> 5.33Helped
increase the number of prediction samples from K=25 to K=200 (ablation)DESIRE-S-IT4 top 20 · KITTI, 4.0 secoracle L2 error (m), top 20: 2.03 -> 1.96Helped
increase the number of prediction samples from K=25 to K=200 (ablation)DESIRE-S-IT4 Best · KITTI, 4.0 secL2 error (m): 4.87 -> 4.70No clear effect
shorten observed past trajectory from 2.0 sec to 1.0 sec (ablation)DESIRE-S-IT4 Best · KITTI, 4.0 secL2 error (m): 4.71 -> 4.94Hurt
use RNN encoder-decoder instead of a linear regressorRNN ED · KITTI, 4.0 secL2 error (m): 5.62 -> 3.86Helped
add scene and interaction features to RNN EDRNN ED on KITTI · KITTI, 4.0 secL2 error (m): 3.86 -> 4.29Hurt
add scene and interaction features to RNN EDRNN ED on SDD · SDD, 4.0 secpixel error: 9.54 -> 8.80Helped
generate multiple CVAE hypotheses instead of oneCVAE on KITTI · KITTI, 4.0 secL2 error (m): 6.16 -> 3.07Helped

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