Research map / Probabilistic and scientific modeling / Causal discovery
Causal Explanation Under Indeterminism: A Sampling Approach
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Measured effects reported in the paper
| What was changed | Where | Measured | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| add true cause C67 vs spurious C69 as explanation of C78 | Sampling-based counterfactual explanation · Billiards common cause | probability change: +0.334* vs -0.011 | Helped |
| compare direct vs indirect cause in chain | Sampling-based counterfactual explanation · Billiards causal chain | probability change: +0.527* vs +0.262* | Mixed |
| compare direct vs indirect cause in chain | Sampling-based counterfactual explanation · Billiards causal chain | timing change: -8.91* vs -7.56* | Mixed |
| preempting unreliable cause C78 with reliable backup | Sampling-based counterfactual explanation · Billiards backup cause | probability change: -0.147* | Hurt |
| earlier run R as cause of hypoglycemia | Sampling-based counterfactual explanation · Glucose-insulin simulation | probability change: +0.642* | Helped |
| lunch L as cause of hypoglycemia | Sampling-based counterfactual explanation · Glucose-insulin simulation | probability change: +0.721* | Helped |
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