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Maximizing the Probability of Arriving on Time: A Practical Q-Learning Method

AAAI 2017 · Learning theory and algorithms › Combinatorial and search optimization · approach: Unsupervised neural combinatorial optimization · 53 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
use Q-learning with success-reward formulation instead of LET/mean-risk/cardinality baselinespath planning · Artificial grid, discrete deadlinesaccuracy: about 95% -> 100%Helped
use Q-learning with neural network instead of baselines on large real networkspath planning · Munich/Singapore/Beijingaccuracy: around 95%Helped
use neural network function approximation for continuous deadlines instead of tabular discrete Q-learningQ-learning method · real networks vs gridaccuracyHurt
use Q-learning instead of cardinality method (MILP)path planning · Beijing networkcomputation time per routing: around 15 seconds -> 1.216 secondsHelped
finer time resolution for training data (week to day to hour) (ablation)time-dependent Q-learning · Munichaccuracy (%): 91.6 -> 96.1 (segment 8, week vs hour)Helped
use only 1/3 of training samples (ablation)Q-learning method · Beijingaccuracy and training time: accuracy drop around 1%, time reduced about 360 secondsMixed
reduce travel time data per link (ablation)Q-learning method · BeijingaccuracyNo clear effect

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