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Research map / Probabilistic and scientific modeling / Bayesian optimization

A Nearly-Black-Box Online Algorithm for Joint Parameter and State Estimation in Temporal Models

AAAI 2017 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Bayesian optimization · approach: Offline black-box optimization with surrogates · 2 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
use L=2 Gaussian mixture instead of L=5 or 10 (ablation)APF · bimodal SINposterior mode recovery: L = 2 vs L = 5, 10Hurt
increase mixture components from 5 to 10 (ablation)APF · bimodal SINposterior weight accuracy: L = 5 -> L = 10Helped
increase number of particles K (ablation)APF · SLAMlog KL-divergenceHelped
increase number of samples M beyond a point (ablation)APF · SLAMlog KL-divergenceNo clear effect
only update approximate distributions for retained particles (ablation)APF · SINrun time: 7 times slower -> 2 times slowerHelped
use APF instead of PMMH/PGibbs/PGASjoint parameter and state estimation · SIN, SLAM, BIRDaccuracy at fixed timeHelped

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